Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 8/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, August 8, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-160) Pittsburgh (+132)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (49-66) will go up against the Cincinnati Reds (60-55) at PNC Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Cincinnati at -160 and Pittsburgh opens at +132. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chase Burns and Mitch Keller.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 4.5 runs per contest, which has them at 11th in the league. They are sitting with 521 runs scored while having a team OBP of .318. The Reds have accounted for 179 doubles as a unit and have hit 117 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 490 RBI's as well as 947 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is at .246. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .390 and have been rung up 989 times, while being walked on 381 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Reds pitchers have conceded 129 long balls in addition to 479 runs in total (13th in MLB). Cincinnati has allowed 897 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 437 earned runs. The Reds hold a team ERA of 3.87 so far this season (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 954 hitters. They have walked 360 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.08 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Reds have dispatched 391 relievers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 153 runners on the campaign with 34.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 28 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 of their 42 save chances. The Reds bullpen have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and have entered the game in 116 save situations. The relievers have a total of 72 holds on the year (9th in the league). Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 97 times in addition to having 105 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago White Sox have notched a total of 3,050 putouts this season, in addition to 864 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 20th in the majors, and they have turned 68 double plays. The Reds have turned 71.2% of balls in play into outs out of 9,150 innings, which has them sitting at 5th in baseball.

Burns has taken the mound for 28 innings and has totaled 47 K's during his MLB career. His ERA is 6.09 (19 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.495. He has given up 30 base hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 12 walks. Burns (0-3 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 5.99 while facing 129 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .346 and they are earning 3.54 runs per outing (30th in the league). They have 159 doubles, while taking a walk 362 times and racking up 407 runs. Pittsburgh has knocked in 81 home runs so far this year to go along with 395 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,005 occasions (7th in MLB) and have recorded 888 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a team batting average of .232 over the course of the season.

The Pirates are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.216 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 903. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 466 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.88 (439 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.80 (879 strikeouts against 334 free passes). They have given up 112 homers and they allow 4.12 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).

Pittsburgh relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 162 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 114 times in high leverage situations in addition to 105 occasions with runners on. With 99 save situations, the Pirates have recorded 54 holds and also 19 blown saves. They rank 25th in MLB holding a save rate of 55.8%, and they have dispatched 354 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Pittsburgh has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 43 save chances and they have recorded 24 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 84 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in baseball). The Pirates have recorded 962 assists, 52 errors and have a tally of 3,051 putouts on the season. In 9,153 innings on the diamond, the Pirates have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (3rd in the majors).

In his career, Keller has conceded 870 hits while he has earned 791 punch outs in 833 innings pitched. Keller (41-60 career win-loss record) has a 4.48 ERA and has given up 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 415 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.383 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.80 and he has faced 3,624 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+132)

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