Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals

Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-196) Washington (+162)

The Cincinnati Reds (52-49) are traveling to Nationals Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Washington Nationals (40-60). The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at -196 and Washington is coming in at +162. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Nick Lodolo and Michael Soroka.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 11th in MLB. They have a total of 464 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. The Reds have recorded 161 doubles as a unit and have hit 107 balls out of the park. They have recorded 437 runs batted in in addition to 832 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .246. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 869 times, while drawing a walk on 337 occasions.

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The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 3.94 on the year (15th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 818 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 117 home runs and 429 runs in total (16th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 321 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.18 as a squad for the season. Cincinnati has conceded 797 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 390 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.55 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Reds relievers have recorded a save rate of 68.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 100 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 133 runners on the season with 34.6% of them earned a run for their team. Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on 84 times in addition to having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 343 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 63 holds on the campaign (11th in MLB). They have earned 24 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of 35 save opportunities.

The Reds have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,025 innings, which has them ranked 5th in professional baseball. The Chicago White Sox have accumulated 2,675 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 760 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which is 21st in MLB, and have a total of 59 double plays.

Lodolo (22-20 career mark) has a FIP of 4.09 while he has faced 1,569 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 341 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 109 free passes. His ERA is 4.15 (169 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.229. Lodolo has taken the hill for 366 innings and has accounted for 404 K's during his career.

The Nationals hold a slugging percentage of .391 and they score 4.34 runs per outing (17th in baseball). They have recorded 164 two-baggers, while getting a free base 294 times and recording 434 runs. Washington has recorded 98 home runs so far this season as well as 417 RBIs. They have been rung up on 760 instances (27th in the league) and have 828 base hits. The Washington Nationals have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a batting average of .246 on the year.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.414 in addition to having a FIP of 4.50 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 7.80 (765 strikeouts vs 338 walks). They come in at 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 905. They have surrendered 121 dingers and they surrender 5.57 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Washington pitching staff have yielded 544 runs on the year while having an ERA of 5.25 (513 earned runs relinquished).

Washington has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 34 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves. They sit at 21st in the league holding a save percentage of 58.8%, and they have dispatched 348 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 78 times in high leverage situations in addition to 106 occasions with runners on. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 41.2% out of their 182 inherited base runners. Sitting with 76 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 41 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Washington Nationals have turned 72 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (19th in MLB). The Nationals have recorded 850 assists, 50 errors and have amassed 2,638 putouts during this campaign. In their 7,914 innings on the diamond, the Nationals have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (27th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Soroka has allowed 358 base knocks while he has earned 361 K's in 398 innings. He has given up 174 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.231 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and he has gone up against 1,667 batters during his career. Soroka (20-25 record in his career) holds a 3.93 earned run average while surrendering 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+162)

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