Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, August 4, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+125) New York (-145)

The Cleveland Guardians (54-54) are headed to Citi Field on Monday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (62-47). The line on this matchup has the Guardians at +125 while the Mets are coming in at -145. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Slade Cecconi and Sean Manaea.

Cleveland owns a slugging percentage of .377 and have been called out on strikes 883 times, while taking a walk on 350 occasions. They have recorded 408 runs batted in and 805 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .228. The Guardians have tallied 162 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 114 baseballs out of the park. They have 424 runs while holding a team OBP of .301. As a team, the Cleveland Guardians are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 26th in the league.

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The Guardians hold a team ERA of 3.90 so far this season (15th in the league), and they have struck out 899 batters. Guardians pitchers have relinquished 119 long balls and also 453 runs in total (11th in MLB). They have walked 383 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a team for the year. Cleveland has given up 875 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 416 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

Guardians relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 92 times in addition to having 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 76 holds on the season (3rd in the league). The Guardians relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 68.2% and stepped onto the hill in 123 save situations. They have earned 30 saves on the season and have missed out on 14 of their 44 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 128 runners so far this year with 36.7% of them crossed home plate. The Guardians have dispatched 360 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 2,879 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 891 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which puts them in 28th in professional baseball, and have a total of 85 double plays. The Guardians have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,637 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 19th in baseball.

Cecconi has taken the mound for 180 innings and has totaled 147 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.10 (102 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.294. He has allowed 190 base knocks (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 43 free passes. Cecconi (7-12 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.02 while he has faced 764 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .409 and they average 4.34 runs per outing (17th in the league). They have 173 two-baggers, while taking a walk 376 times as well as earning 473 runs. New York is sitting with 135 home runs this year as well as 460 runs batted in. They have struck out on 875 occasions (19th in baseball) and have recorded 872 base hits. The New York Mets are sitting with a team OBP of .319 and a batting average of .241 on the year.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.311 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.83 as a team so far this season. They have a ranking of 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 872. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 430 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.58 (384 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (928 strikeouts against 394 walks). They have yielded 95 dingers and they relinquish 4.01 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).

New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% of 178 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 134 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with base runners. With 124 save situations, the Mets have earned 72 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 10th in the league with a save rate of 65.4%, and they have dispatched 352 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. New York has had relief pitchers take the mound in 52 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 84 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 989 assists, 50 errors and have earned a total of 2,898 putouts so far this year. In 8,694 innings on the field, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in MLB).

Manaea (78-63 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.98 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.34 and he has faced 5,001 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 531 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.197 and having a FIP of 3.9. During his career, Manaea has allowed 1,099 hits while he has earned 1,131 strikeouts in 1,201 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (+125)

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