Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-160) Toronto (+132)

The Toronto Blue Jays (15-16) host the Cleveland Guardians (18-13) at Rogers Centre on Sunday. The line on this contest has Cleveland at -160 while Toronto is at +132. The total is 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Tanner Bibee and Bowden Francis.

The Guardians have hit 40 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 34 baseballs out of the stadium. Cleveland has a slugging percentage of .379 and have struck out 246 times, while being walked on 97 occasions. As a unit, the Cleveland Guardians are notching 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 23rd in MLB. They have 111 runs batted in in addition to 233 base knocks this year, and their batting average is sitting at .233. They have earned 118 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .303.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.27 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.42. Guardians pitchers have allowed 38 home runs in addition to 142 runs (19th in the league). Cleveland has relinquished 275 base knocks (9.0 per 9 innings) and 131 earned runs. The Guardians are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.30 on the season (23rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 261 batters. They have walked 115 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.28 as a squad this season.

Guardians bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 28 times as well as having 31 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 29 holds on the campaign (2nd in the league). The Guardians relievers have recorded a save rate of 71.4% and have entered the game in 43 save situations. They have tallied 10 saves on the year and have blown 4 of 14 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 38 base runners on the campaign with 21.1% of them crossed the plate. The Guardians have dispatched 108 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Guardians have turned 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,466 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 28th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 822 putouts on the campaign, as well as 237 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them ranked 22nd in professional baseball, and have accumulated 27 double plays.

Bibee has pitched in 348 frames and has totaled 353 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.36 (130 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.160. He has allowed 301 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 103 walks. Bibee (24-14 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.31 and he has gone up against 1,431 batters during his time in the major leagues.

Toronto has compiled 21 home runs for the season as well as 103 runs batted in. They have recorded 52 doubles, while taking a walk 97 times as well as scoring 108 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .237 over the course of the season. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .350 and they are recording 3.48 runs per game (26th in baseball). They have been rung up on 222 occasions (29th in baseball) and have recorded 244 hits.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.241 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a squad on the season. They rank 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 249. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 140 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.24 (131 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (285 strikeouts vs 96 walks). They have conceded 44 dingers and they yield 4.53 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

Toronto has had relievers enter the game in 14 save opportunities and they have converted 9 saves. They rank 17th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3%, and they have sent 106 relievers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 24 times in high leverage situations and also on 34 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 18.6% out of 43 inherited base runners. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Blue Jays have 17 holds and 5 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 22 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have 247 assists, 16 errors and have notched a total of 835 putouts on the campaign. In their 2,505 innings on the field, the Blue Jays are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (13th in professional baseball).

During his career, Francis has surrendered 129 base hits while he has totaled 151 punch outs in 170 frames. Francis (11-9 mark in his career) holds a 3.33 ERA while conceding 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 63 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.986 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.87 and he has faced 677 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+132)

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