Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, July 7, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Colorado (+120) Boston (-144)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (44-45) will try to beat the Colorado Rockies (20-67) on Monday. The line on this matchup has the Rockies at +120 while the Red Sox are at -144. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Austin Gomber and Richard Fitts.

As a unit, the Colorado Rockies are notching 3.6 runs per game, which puts them at 27th in MLB. They are sitting with 310 runs and hold an OBP of .292. The Rockies have hit 140 doubles as a team and have hit 83 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 303 RBI's and 673 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .231. Colorado is slugging .381 and have struck out 856 times, while being walked on 229 occasions.

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The Rockies have an earned run average of 5.50 on the year (30th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 570 batters. Rockies pitchers have conceded 114 long balls and 533 runs (30th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 298 batters and their FIP is 4.81 as a team on the year. Colorado has given up 889 hits (10.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 466 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.91 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.56.

The Rockies relievers have a save rate of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 64 save situations. The relievers have inherited 166 base runners for the year and 35.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rockies bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 97 times in addition to having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rockies have dispatched 293 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have a total of 34 holds on the year (29th in the league). They have compiled 15 saves on the season and have blown 15 of their 30 save opportunities.

The Rockies have transformed 65.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,858 innings on the field, ranking them 30th in MLB. The Cleveland Guardians are sitting with 2,286 putouts so far this season, in addition to 839 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .977 which ranks 30th in MLB, and have accumulated 85 double plays.

Gomber has taken the hill for 667 innings and is sitting with 511 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.88 (362 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.370. He has surrendered 707 base hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 207 walks. Gomber (35-41 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.81 while he has faced 2,856 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Boston has accounted for 107 home runs on the campaign to go along with 402 RBIs. They have tallied 172 doubles, while taking a walk 292 times and scoring 421 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .323 as well as a team batting average of .251 this season. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .422 and they have an average of 4.78 runs per contest (6th in baseball). They have been rung up on 811 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have totaled 760 hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.328 in addition to having a FIP of 3.96 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (738 strikeouts against 304 walks). They come in at 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 743. They have allowed 87 dingers and they concede 4.64 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 406 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.01 (351 earned runs allowed).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 120 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 113 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 86 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 43 holds and also 18 blown saves. They sit at 24th in the league with a save percentage of 56.1%, and they have dispatched 290 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Boston has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 41 save chances and they have come away with 23 saves.

In 7,098 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (25th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 76 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 811 assists, 72 errors and are sitting with 2,366 putouts so far this year.

Fitts (0-4 record in his career) has a 3.36 earned run average and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.94 and he has faced 206 hitters during his career. He has given up 18 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.266 and a FIP of 3.3. So far in his career, Fitts has given up 45 base hits while totaling 31 strikeouts in 48 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-144)

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