Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-210) Baltimore (+172)

The Detroit Tigers (43-24) are en route to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Baltimore Orioles (26-38). The odds on this game have the Tigers at -210 and the Orioles open at +172. The total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Casey Mize and Zach Eflin.

As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have accounted for 325 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .321. The Tigers have tallied 103 doubles as a unit and have hit 76 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 311 runs batted in in addition to 568 hits this season, and their average at the plate is .250. Detroit owns a slugging percentage of .406 and have been called out on strikes 595 times, while drawing a walk on 218 occasions.

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The Tigers have compiled a team ERA of 3.15 over the course of the season (4th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 568 batters. Tigers pitchers have allowed 63 home runs and also 233 total runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 189 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.63 as a unit for the year. Detroit has given up 502 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 209 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.16.

Tigers bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 73 times and also have had 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 35 holds this year (20th in MLB). The Tigers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 70.0% and have entered the game in 68 save situations. They have earned 21 saves for the year and have blown 9 out of their 30 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 99 runners so far this year and 26.3% of those runners crossed the plate. The Tigers have sent 201 relievers to the mound so far this season.

The Tigers have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,367 innings on the field, which has them sitting 4th in the majors. The Colorado Rockies have earned a total of 1,789 putouts on the year, as well as 573 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .989 which ranks 3rd in the majors, and have earned 52 double plays.

Mize has taken the hill for 346 frames and is sitting with 274 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.13 (159 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.288. He has given up 345 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 101 free passes. Mize (15-20 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.07 and he has gone up against 1,474 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Baltimore Orioles have a team OBP of .303 and a batting average of .238 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 562 occasions (9th in MLB) and have earned 507 hits. Baltimore has accounted for 70 home runs on the season to go along with 229 RBIs. The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .388 and they earn 3.84 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have recorded 92 doubles, while walking 183 times as well as scoring 246 runs.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.438 with a FIP of 4.60 as a unit for the year. They sit at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 590. The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 335 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.09 (316 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (514 strikeouts against 214 free passes). They have given up 91 dingers and they allow 5.39 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

With 72 save situations, the Orioles have earned 46 holds and also 8 blown saves. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 23 save opportunities and they have recorded 15 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 65 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score rate of 22.5% of 102 inherited base runners. They sit at 11th in the league with a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have dispatched 224 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

In their 5,034 innings on the field, the Orioles have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (27th in pro baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 45 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in MLB). The Orioles have racked up 568 assists, 36 errors and have earned a total of 1,678 putouts so far this season.

In his career, Eflin has conceded 1,064 hits while tallying 903 strikeouts in 1,048 innings pitched. Eflin (67-64 mark in his career) has earned a 4.18 ERA and has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 487 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.219 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.22 and he has faced 4,379 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+172)

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