Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-160) Cleveland (+132)

Progressive Field is where the Cleveland Guardians (40-44) will attempt to defeat the Detroit Tigers (54-33) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Tigers at -160 and the Guardians are sitting at +132. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Casey Mize and Logan Allen.

Detroit has a slugging rate of .430 and have been called out on strikes 753 times, while taking a walk on 277 occasions. They have accounted for 421 RBI's and 757 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is at .257. The Tigers have hit 142 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 110 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 439 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are recording 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in MLB.

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The Tigers have a team ERA of 3.49 for the season (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 740 hitters. Tigers pitchers have given up 89 long balls in addition to 336 total runs (6th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 251 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.79 as a squad on the campaign. Detroit has allowed 674 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 300 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.95 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.20.

The Tigers have sent 268 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 132 base runners so far this year and 25.0% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 24 saves for the season and have blown 11 of their 35 save opportunities. The Tigers bullpen have earned a save percentage of 68.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 83 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 45 holds for the season (21st in the league). Tigers relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 97 times in addition to having 73 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Colorado Rockies have notched a total of 2,320 putouts this year, in addition to 749 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 9th in pro baseball, and they have turned 72 double plays. The Tigers have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,960 innings on the field, which has them sitting 9th in professional baseball.

Mize has taken the ball for 369 innings and has accounted for 295 punch outs during his career. Mize (17-21 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.99 while going up against 1,569 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.05 (166 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.281. He has surrendered 369 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 104 walks.

Cleveland has accounted for 84 long balls this year as well as 294 RBIs. They have 115 doubles, while taking a walk 261 times as well as putting up 309 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have tallied an OBP of .297 and a batting average of .225 so far this year. The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .365 and they score 3.68 runs per contest (26th in baseball). They have been rung up on 691 instances (18th in the league) and have tallied 615 hits.

The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 360 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.07 (334 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 87 HR's and they concede 4.38 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.388 in addition to having a FIP of 4.11 as a staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (698 strikeouts vs 310 walks). They come in at 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 716.

Cleveland has had relievers step onto the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have recorded 23 saves. They rank 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 74.2%, and they have dispatched 280 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 80 times in high leverage situations and also on 72 occasions with runners on. Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.1% out of their 105 inherited runners. Sitting with 91 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 59 holds and 8 blown saves.

Out of their 6,654 innings played, the Guardians are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (28th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 66 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in baseball). The Guardians have accrued 674 assists, 63 errors and have amassed 2,218 putouts on the season.

In his career, Allen has conceded 322 base hits while he has totaled 258 punch outs in 300 frames. He has allowed a total of 152 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.482 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.10 and he has gone up against 1,312 opposing hitters during his career. Allen (20-19 career record) has a 4.56 earned run average and has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-160)

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