Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 8/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-144) Minnesota (+120)

The Detroit Tigers (71-52) are traveling to Target Field on Sunday where they will compete against the Minnesota Twins (57-64). The moneyline on this game has the Tigers at -144 while the Twins are sitting at +120. The total is 8. The starting pitchers will be Chris Paddack and Travis Adams.

The Tigers have hit 189 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 158 balls out of the park. Detroit has a slugging rate of .421 and have been called out on strikes 1,085 times, while drawing a walk on 372 occasions. As a team, the Detroit Tigers are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in baseball. They have amassed 568 runs batted in in addition to 1,031 hits for the year, while their batting average is .249. They have notched a total of 588 runs scored while having a team OBP of .316.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Tigers pitchers have conceded 138 home runs in addition to 511 total runs (13th in the league). Detroit has relinquished 985 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 464 earned runs. The Tigers hold a team earned run average of 3.83 so far this season (12th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,048 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 351 batters and their FIP is 3.93 as a team over the course of the season.

The Tigers have dispatched 379 relievers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 186 base runners on the campaign and 27.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 33 saves for the season and have not converted 16 of their 49 chances to save the game. The Tigers relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 67.3% and have stepped onto the mound in 109 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 57 holds for the season (23rd in MLB). Tigers relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 134 times and also have had 104 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tigers have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,822 innings on the field, which has them sitting 13th in baseball. The Colorado Rockies have a total of 3,274 putouts this season, as well as 1,044 assists and 58 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which has them ranked 13th in baseball, and have accumulated 96 double plays.

Paddack has taken the mound for 549 frames and has racked up 509 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.47 (273 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.199. He has surrendered 542 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) with 117 walks. Paddack (31-34 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.41 while he has faced 2,301 batters in the majors.

The Twins have a slugging percentage of .397 and they have an average of 4.17 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have put up 189 doubles, while taking a walk 354 times and scoring 504 runs. Minnesota has tallied 141 home runs for the season and 482 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,000 occasions (17th in MLB) and have recorded 967 hits. The Minnesota Twins have a team OBP of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .239 on the campaign.

The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 538 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.26 (504 earned runs allowed). They have surrendered 142 long balls and they relinquish 4.55 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.276 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.60 (1,018 strikeouts vs 322 free passes). They are sitting at 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,037.

Minnesota has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 40 save opportunities and they have come away with 23 saves. They sit at 23rd in the league holding a save rate of 57.5%, and they have dispatched 416 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have come in 144 times in high leverage situations in addition to 90 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of 126 inherited base runners. With 120 save situations, the Twins have recorded 78 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

Out of their 9,585 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (24th in MLB). The Minnesota Twins have turned 67 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (15th in pro baseball). The Twins have accrued 894 assists, 55 errors and have earned 3,195 putouts on the campaign.

Adams (1-2 career mark) holds a 7.77 earned run average while giving up 11.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 102 opposing batters so far in his career. He has conceded a total of 19 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.636 and having a FIP of 7.7. In his MLB career, Adams has allowed 28 base knocks while he has earned 20 strikeouts in 22 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (-144)

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