Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-210) Tampa Bay (+172)

The Detroit Tigers (47-27) are en route to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Saturday where they will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (41-33). The moneyline on this contest has Detroit at -210 while Tampa Bay is sitting at +172. The over/under is set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Sawyer Gipson-Long and Ryan Pepiot.

As a squad, the Detroit Tigers are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 5th in MLB. They have accumulated 358 runs while holding a team OBP of .322. The Tigers have accounted for 117 doubles as a team and have smacked 89 balls out of the park. They have accrued 344 runs batted in and 631 hits for the season, while their batting average is .252. Detroit is slugging .416 and have been rung up 647 times, while drawing a walk on 237 occasions.

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The Tigers hold a team ERA of 3.34 so far this season (4th in the league), and their staff has struck out 625 batters. Tigers pitchers have given up 74 long balls and 274 runs (6th in baseball). They have walked 208 batters and their FIP sits at 3.71 as a team on the year. Detroit has given up 568 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 244 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18.

The Tigers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 69.7% and have come into the game in 75 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 110 base runners this year with 25.5% of them crossed the plate. Tigers pitchers have entered the game with runners on 83 times as well as having 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have dispatched 227 relievers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have 39 holds this year (19th in MLB). They have earned 23 saves on the season and have blown 10 of their 33 save opportunities.

The Tigers have converted 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,925 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball. The Colorado Rockies have notched a total of 1,975 putouts on the year, in addition to 632 assists and 33 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which ranks 9th in baseball, and have a total of 60 double plays.

Gipson-Long (1-0 career record) holds a FIP of 3.14 while facing 128 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 25 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 10 free passes. His earned run average is 3.18 (11 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.125. Gipson-Long has taken the mound for 31 innings and has totaled 36 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .253 this year. They have struck out on 622 occasions (12th in MLB) and have notched a total of 630 base knocks. Tampa Bay has accounted for 78 HRs this year to go along with 328 RBIs. The Rays have a team slugging percentage of .399 and they are scoring 4.66 runs per outing (10th in MLB). They have recorded 117 two-baggers, while getting a free base 230 times as well as recording 345 runs.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.173 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.19 as a staff on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 (596 strikeouts against 197 free passes). They are sitting at 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 581. They have surrendered 97 homers and they allow 3.76 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have relinquished 277 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.49 (257 earned runs conceded).

Tampa Bay has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 27 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. They are ranked 15th in the league holding a save rate of 63.0%, and they have sent 235 relievers to the hill for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 70 times in high leverage situations and on 47 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.1% out of 70 inherited base runners. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Rays have amassed 46 holds and 10 blown saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 81 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in pro baseball). The Rays have recorded 696 assists, 35 errors and have a tally of 1,990 putouts this season. In their 5,970 innings played, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (3rd in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Pepiot has given up 228 base knocks while tallying 306 strikeouts in 297 frames. He has given up a total of 107 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.123 and a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and he has gone up against 1,212 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Pepiot (17-15 record in his career) holds a 3.24 ERA while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+172)

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