Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-160) Boston (+132)

The Houston Astros (62-47) are traveling to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will play the Boston Red Sox (59-51). The odds on this game have the Astros at -160 while the Red Sox are at +132. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Framber Valdez and Dustin May.

As a unit, the Houston Astros are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB. They have accounted for 473 runs and hold an OBP of .322. The Astros have hit 164 doubles as a unit and have hit 120 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 451 runs batted in in addition to 946 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .257. Houston is slugging .405 and have been rung up 858 times, while drawing a walk on 316 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19. Astros pitchers have surrendered 126 long balls and also 424 runs in total (6th in baseball). Houston has conceded 830 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 398 earned runs. The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.69 this year (8th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,057 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 325 opposing players and their FIP is 3.74 as a team over the course of the season.

The Astros have dispatched 338 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 104 runners so far this season and 26.9% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 34 saves for the year and have missed out on 12 of their 46 save opportunities. The Astros relievers have earned a save percentage of 73.9% and have come into the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 68 holds so far this year (9th in the league). Astros relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 75 times as well as having 109 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers have earned 2,913 putouts on the year, in addition to 850 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which is 9th in pro baseball, and they have turned 69 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.5% of balls in play into outs in their 8,739 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 11th in the majors.

Valdez has taken the mound for 1,022 innings and has accumulated 1,007 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.21 (365 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.185. He has given up 846 base hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 365 walks. Valdez (79-45 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.17 while he has faced 4,223 batters in the major leagues.

Boston has 137 long balls over the course of the season and 523 RBIs. They have hit 226 two-baggers, while walking 353 times as well as scoring 545 runs. The Boston Red Sox have tallied an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a team batting average of .253 for the year. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .432 and they have an average of 4.95 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have been rung up on 995 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have tallied 959 base hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (916 strikeouts against 364 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 915. They have allowed 112 long balls and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have allowed 477 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.76 (412 earned runs surrendered).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 52 save chances and they have recorded 30 saves. They are currently ranked 24th in MLB holding a save rate of 57.7%, and they have sent 359 relievers to the hill this year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 139 times in high leverage situations and on 111 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of their 146 inherited base runners. With 115 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 61 holds and 22 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 91 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 1,009 assists, 84 errors and have accumulated 2,955 putouts for the year. In 8,865 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in professional baseball).

During his career, May has given up 241 base hits while he has tallied 271 strikeouts in 295 innings. He has allowed 122 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.71 and he has faced 1,223 hitters during his career. May (18-16 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.72 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-160)

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