Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 7/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: Rockies.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-152) Colorado (+126)

The Houston Astros (51-34) are on their way to Coors Field on Thursday where they will compete against the Colorado Rockies (19-66). The moneyline on this contest has the Astros at -152 while the Rockies are opening at +126. The total is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Brandon Walter and Kyle Freeland.

As a team, the Houston Astros are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in baseball. They are sitting with 356 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .320. The Astros have recorded 117 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 92 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 339 runs batted in and 723 hits this season, while their average at the plate comes in at .255. Houston is slugging .398 and have been called out on strikes 658 times, while taking a walk on 245 occasions.

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The Astros have an ERA of 3.49 this season (5th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 833 batters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 91 long balls and 309 total runs (2nd in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 251 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.57 as a team this year. Houston has given up 617 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 292 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.32 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Astros relief pitchers have a save percentage of 75.0% and have come into the game in 91 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 93 base runners for the year with 26.9% of those runners crossed the plate. Astros bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 64 times as well as having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 263 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen have recorded 54 holds over the course of the season (7th in the league). They have tallied 27 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 9 of their 36 save opportunities.

The Detroit Tigers have accumulated 2,258 putouts on the year, in addition to 648 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which has them sitting 10th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 51 double plays. The Astros have turned 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,774 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB.

Walter (1-1 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.59 while he has gone up against 228 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 61 hits (10.5 hits per nine innings) with 9 walks. His ERA is 4.66 (27 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.341. Walter has taken the mound for 52 innings and has accumulated 46 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Colorado Rockies have recorded an OBP of .290 as well as a team batting average of .228 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 842 occasions (1st in MLB) and have a total of 650 base knocks. Colorado has 81 home runs on the campaign to go along with 294 RBIs. The Rockies hold a team SLG% of .379 and they are scoring 3.53 runs per outing (27th in MLB). They have 137 two-baggers, while getting a free base 227 times as well as scoring 300 runs.

The Rockies have a WHIP of 1.550 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.82 as a staff over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 30th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 860. The Colorado pitching staff have yielded 522 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 5.50 (455 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.80 (563 strikeouts against 293 walks). They have conceded 113 dingers and they concede 6.31 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league).

Sitting with 61 save situations, the Rockies have 33 holds and also 14 blown saves. Colorado has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 28 save chances and they have converted 14 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 87 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with runners on base. Colorado bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.2% of 162 inherited base runners. They sit at 29th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 286 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Colorado Rockies have turned 84 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .977 (30th in the majors). The Rockies have racked up 818 assists, 72 errors and have 2,232 putouts for the season. Out of their 6,696 innings played, the Rockies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 66.1% (30th in the majors).

Freeland (61-82 mark in his career) holds a 4.55 ERA and has allowed 10.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.36 and he has faced 5,106 hitters during his MLB career. He has conceded 594 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.430 and a FIP of 4.5. So far in his pro baseball career, Freeland has surrendered 1,307 base hits while he has totaled 879 punch outs in 1,174 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Colorado (+126)

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