Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 7/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+126) Los Angeles (-152)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (54-32) will try to defeat the Houston Astros (51-34) at Dodger Stadium on Friday. The line on this contest has the Astros at +126 while the Dodgers are sitting at -152. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Lance McCullers Jr. and Ben Casparius.

The Astros have hit 117 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 92 baseballs out of the park. Houston is slugging .398 and have been called out on strikes 658 times, while being walked on 245 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have earned 339 RBI's as well as 723 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .255. They have notched a total of 356 runs scored while having a team OBP of .320.

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The Astros hold a team earned run average of 3.49 on the campaign (5th in the league), and their staff has struck out 833 batters. Astros pitchers have conceded 91 long balls and also 309 total runs (2nd in MLB). They have walked 251 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.57 as a team on the season. Houston has surrendered 617 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 292 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.32 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15.

Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 64 times in addition to having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 54 holds for the season (7th in the league). The Astros relievers have a save rate of 75.0% and have entered the game in 91 save situations. They have 27 saves this year and have blown 9 of 36 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 93 runners over the course of the season and 26.9% of them ended up scoring. The Astros have dispatched 263 relievers to the mound this year.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 2,258 putouts this year, as well as 648 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 10th in MLB, and have a total of 51 double plays. The Astros have converted 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,774 innings on the field, ranking them 8th in baseball.

McCullers has taken the ball for 750 frames and has racked up 840 K's in his career. His ERA is 3.62 (302 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.269. He has given up 636 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and has 316 free passes. McCullers (50-35 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.57 while he has faced 3,175 hitters during his time in the majors.

Los Angeles has hit 134 home runs for the year and 465 runs batted in. They have 147 doubles, while taking a walk 320 times and recording 483 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded an on-base percentage of .338 as well as a team batting average of .262 for the year. The Dodgers have a team slugging percentage of .459 and they tally 5.62 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have struck out on 704 occasions (16th in baseball) and have recorded 771 base knocks.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.307 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.23 as a team for the season. They come in at 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 704. The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 388 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.18 (357 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.90 (756 strikeouts vs 300 free passes). They have yielded 106 long balls and they concede 4.55 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).

Los Angeles has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 40 save opportunities and they have come away with 28 saves. They rank 7th in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 311 relievers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 70 occasions with runners on. Los Angeles relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.2% out of their 99 inherited base runners. Sitting with 115 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 72 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

Out of their 6,912 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 66 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in pro baseball). The Dodgers have 754 assists, 38 errors and have earned 2,304 putouts this year.

In his MLB career, Casparius has surrendered 61 base hits while he has earned 66 K's in 64 innings pitched. He has allowed 27 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.198 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.13 and he has faced 270 hitters so far in his MLB career. Casparius (8-2 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.78 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-152)

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