Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+126) Los Angeles (-152)

The Houston Astros (52-34) are traveling to Dodger Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-32). The moneyline on this contest has Houston at +126 and Los Angeles is coming in at -152. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Framber Valdez and Shohei Ohtani.

As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 18th in MLB. They have racked up 361 runs scored and have an OBP of .322. The Astros have accumulated 119 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 93 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 344 RBI's and 739 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is .257. Houston is slugging .400 and have been rung up 661 times, while taking a walk on 247 occasions.

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The Astros are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.49 on the campaign (4th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 844 hitters. Astros pitchers have surrendered 92 long balls and also 312 total runs (2nd in the league). They have walked 252 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.56 as a team on the campaign. Houston has conceded 627 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and also 295 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.35 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.15.

The Astros have sent 266 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 93 runners for the season and 26.9% of them crossed the plate. They have tallied 28 saves on the season and have missed out on 9 of their 37 save opportunities. The Astros relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 75.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 94 save situations. The relievers have notched 56 holds on the campaign (9th in baseball). Astros pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 64 times and also have had 88 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have transformed 70.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,855 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in professional baseball. The Detroit Tigers have a tally of 2,285 putouts for the season, in addition to 657 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which ranks 10th in MLB, and have a total of 52 double plays.

Valdez (77-45 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.19 while he has gone up against 4,120 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 825 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 360 walks. His ERA is 3.24 (359 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.188. Valdez has taken the hill for 997 innings and has 974 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a team OBP of .338 and a team batting average of .262 for the season. They have struck out on 711 instances (17th in baseball) and have earned 780 hits. Los Angeles has tallied 136 home runs so far this season and 470 RBIs. The Dodgers hold a team slugging percentage of .459 and they have an average of 5.61 runs per outing (1st in MLB). They have hit 147 two-baggers, while taking a walk 324 times and scoring 488 runs.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.306 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (763 strikeouts vs 302 bases on balls). They are sitting at 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 713. They have allowed 107 dingers and they surrender 4.54 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Los Angeles pitching staff have given up 392 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.18 (361 earned runs given up).

Los Angeles bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.2% out of their 99 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 88 times in high leverage situations and on 70 occasions with runners on. With 115 save situations, the Dodgers have earned 72 holds and 12 blown saves. They rank 7th in MLB holding a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 314 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Los Angeles has called on relievers to take the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have come away with 28 saves.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 66 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (8th in the majors). The Dodgers have accrued 763 assists, 38 errors and have notched a total of 2,331 putouts so far this season. Out of their 6,993 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (16th in baseball).

In his MLB career, Ohtani has allowed 351 base hits while he has tallied 611 punch outs in 485 innings. Ohtani (38-19 career record) holds a 3.00 earned run average and has given up 6.5 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 162 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.082 and having a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.51 and he has faced 1,967 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-152)

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