Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, August 6, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-128) Miami (+106)

The Houston Astros (63-50) are on their way to loanDepot park on Wednesday where they will meet the Miami Marlins (55-56). The odds on this game have Houston at -128 and Miami is priced at +106. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Spencer Arrighetti and Janson Junk.

Houston has a slugging rate of .404 and have been rung up 882 times, while being walked on 326 occasions. They have earned 464 RBI's as well as 981 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average comes in at .257. The Astros have hit 171 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 123 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 486 runs scored and hold an OBP of .321. As a team, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.28 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19. Astros pitchers have given up 131 home runs in addition to 441 runs (5th in the league). Houston has conceded 861 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 413 earned runs. The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.70 for the season (7th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,091 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 333 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.76 as a unit on the campaign.

The Astros have sent 350 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 107 base runners on the season and 26.2% of them crossed the plate. They have tallied 34 saves so far this season and have missed out on 12 of their 46 save chances. The Astros bullpen have recorded a save rate of 73.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 68 holds this year (11th in the league). Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 78 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Astros have turned 70.5% of balls in play into outs out of 9,045 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 11th in MLB. The Detroit Tigers have amassed 3,015 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 883 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which ranks 8th in the majors, and have earned 70 double plays.

Arrighetti has pitched in 154 frames and has tallied 179 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 4.61 (79 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.381. He has surrendered 143 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 70 free passes. Arrighetti (8-14 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.54 and he has gone up against 671 batters in the major leagues.

The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .397 and they are recording 4.30 runs per contest (19th in the league). They have put up 188 doubles, while taking a walk 334 times and scoring 477 runs. Miami has knocked in 107 long balls so far this season to go along with 458 runs batted in. They have struck out on 880 instances (25th in the league) and have tallied 953 base hits. The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .252 this season.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.298 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a unit on the campaign. They come in at 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 938. The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 523 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.41 (484 earned runs given up). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (880 strikeouts against 345 bases on balls). They have surrendered 116 home runs and they relinquish 4.76 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).

With 109 save situations, the Marlins have earned 62 holds and 18 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers take the mound in 46 save chances and they have converted 28 saves. Their relievers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and on 85 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.7% of 123 inherited runners. They are ranked 18th in the league holding a save percentage of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 346 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

Out of their 8,895 innings on the diamond, the Marlins hold a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have gotten 77 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). The Marlins have recorded 969 assists, 57 errors and have notched a total of 2,965 putouts so far this season.

Junk (6-5 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.97 ERA and has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.82 and he has faced 452 opposing hitters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 58 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.361 and having a FIP of 4.9. During his career, Junk has allowed 126 hits while he has tallied 82 K's in 105 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-128)

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