Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-122) Texas (+102)

The Houston Astros (22-20) are en route to Globe Life Field on Friday where they will take on the Texas Rangers (23-21). The odds on this game have the Astros at -122 while the Rangers are priced at +102. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Lance McCullers Jr. and Nathan Eovaldi.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are earning 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB. They have accumulated 174 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322. The Astros have earned 63 doubles as a team and have knocked 36 balls out of the park. They have recorded 165 runs batted in as well as 349 base knocks this season, while their batting average sits at .251. Houston owns a slugging percentage of .381 and have been called out on strikes 332 times, while being walked on 135 occasions.

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The Astros hold a team ERA of 3.46 this season (7th in the league), and they have rung up 390 batters. Astros pitchers have allowed 37 home runs and also 153 runs in total (4th in the league). They have walked 131 opposing players and their FIP is 3.46 as a unit this year. Houston has relinquished 293 base knocks (7.1 per 9 innings) and 142 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.98 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.15.

Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 31 times and also have had 31 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 26 holds for the season (13th in MLB). The Astros bullpen have a save percentage of 73.3% and have come into the game in 41 save situations. They have compiled 11 saves for the year and have blown 4 out of their 15 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 46 base runners on the campaign and 34.8% of those players crossed the plate. The Astros have sent 133 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Detroit Tigers have earned a total of 1,109 putouts so far this season, as well as 318 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which puts them in 1st in professional baseball, and have a total of 24 double plays. The Astros have turned 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 3,327 innings, which has them ranked 5th in pro baseball.

McCullers has thrown 722 frames and has earned 804 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 3.55 (285 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.261. He has conceded 609 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 302 free passes. McCullers (49-33 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.50 and he has gone up against 3,043 batters during his time in the majors.

The Rangers have a team slugging % of .375 and they are recording 3.50 runs per game (26th in MLB). They have recorded 56 doubles, while taking a walk 114 times as well as scoring 154 runs. Texas has tallied 46 HRs this year to go along with 151 RBIs. They have struck out on 340 occasions (23rd in the league) and have a total of 332 base knocks. The Texas Rangers have compiled an on-base percentage of .295 in addition to a team batting average of .233 on the campaign.

The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.138 in addition to having a FIP of 3.51 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 321. The Texas pitching staff have allowed 154 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.28 (140 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (352 strikeouts vs 116 free passes). They have allowed 36 home runs and they surrender 3.61 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).

With 49 save situations, the Rangers have 29 holds and 5 blown saves. Texas has had relief pitchers enter the game in 18 save opportunities and they have converted 13 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 43 times in high leverage situations in addition to 42 occasions with runners on. Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.9% out of their 67 inherited runners. They rank 6th in the league holding a save rate of 72.2%, and they have sent 135 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Texas Rangers have turned 37 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in baseball). The Rangers have racked up 392 assists, 17 errors and have earned a total of 1,152 putouts on the season. In their 3,456 innings played, the Rangers have a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (7th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Eovaldi has conceded 1,608 hits while he has accumulated 1,418 strikeouts in 1,627 frames. Eovaldi (95-83 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.99 earned run average and has surrendered 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 722 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.265 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has gone up against 6,838 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-122)

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