Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, August 4, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+125) Boston (-145)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (59-51) will play the Kansas City Royals (54-55) on Monday. The odds on this game have Kansas City at +125 and Boston is sitting at -145. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Bergert and Lucas Giolito.

The Royals have tallied 192 doubles as a team and have hit 92 balls out of the park. Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .382 and have struck out 746 times, while being walked on 265 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 3.6 runs per game, which puts them at 28th in baseball. They have accounted for 387 RBI's in addition to 890 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is .244. They have accumulated 393 runs and have an OBP of .300.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.65 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.23. Royals pitchers have allowed 112 home runs in addition to 411 runs in total (2nd in the league). Kansas City has conceded 863 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 380 earned runs. The Royals have compiled a team ERA of 3.52 for the year (2nd in MLB), and they have struck out 880 batters. They have walked 332 batters and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a squad so far this season.

The Royals relief pitchers have a save percentage of 68.9% and have entered the game in 101 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 150 runners over the course of the season with 30.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Royals pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 108 times as well as having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have dispatched 363 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have 55 holds so far this season (21st in MLB). They have recorded 31 saves so far this year and have not converted 14 of 45 save opportunities.

The Houston Astros have accumulated 2,911 putouts so far this season, as well as 969 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 7th in baseball, and have a total of 82 double plays. The Royals have converted 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 8,733 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB.

Bergert has taken the mound for 35 frames and is sitting with 34 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.81 (11 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.193. He has given up 24 hits (6.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 18 walks. Bergert (1-0 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 2.77 while going up against 149 hitters in the majors.

Boston has compiled 137 home runs over the course of the season and 523 RBIs. They have put up 226 doubles, while getting a free base 353 times and scoring 545 runs. The Boston Red Sox hold an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .253 on the year. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .432 and they earn 4.95 runs per game (4th in the league). They have been rung up on 995 instances (3rd in baseball) and have a total of 959 hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a pitching staff this year. They have a ranking of 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 915. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 477 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.76 (412 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (916 strikeouts vs 364 walks). They have conceded 112 long balls and they yield 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).

Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 52 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves. They are currently ranked 24th in the league with a save rate of 57.7%, and they have dispatched 359 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 139 times in high leverage situations in addition to 111 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.9% of 146 inherited runners. With 115 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 61 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 91 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 1,009 assists, 84 errors and have earned a total of 2,955 putouts this year. In 8,865 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (25th in MLB).

So far in his MLB career, Giolito has given up 970 base knocks while he has totaled 1,154 strikeouts in 1,100 innings pitched. Giolito (68-64 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.38 earned run average and has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 536 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and he has faced 4,624 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+125)

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