Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+125) Chicago (-150)

The Kansas City Royals (48-52) are hitting the road to Wrigley Field on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Chicago Cubs (59-40). The moneyline on this game has Kansas City at +125 and Chicago is at -150. The total has been set at 8. The men taking the mound are Rich Hill and Matthew Boyd.

As a unit, the Kansas City Royals are notching 3.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 29th in the league. They have accumulated 343 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .299. The Royals have accrued 177 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 77 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 339 RBI's as well as 817 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is at .244. Kansas City is slugging .376 and have struck out 686 times, while drawing a walk on 236 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.75 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.22. Royals pitchers have relinquished 101 long balls and 371 total runs (2nd in baseball). Kansas City has allowed 785 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 344 earned runs. The Royals are sitting with a team ERA of 3.49 this season (2nd in MLB), and the staff has struck out 812 batters. They have walked 295 hitters and their FIP is 3.83 as a team this year.

Royals bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 98 times as well as having 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 51 holds this season (21st in the league). The Royals relievers have a save percentage of 69.0% and have entered the game in 94 save situations. They have earned 29 saves so far this season and have not converted 13 of their 42 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 138 runners so far this year and 31.2% of those runners ended up scoring. The Royals have sent 326 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Royals have turned 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,758 innings on the diamond, ranking them 8th in the majors. The Houston Astros have amassed 2,586 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 858 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which puts them in 7th in baseball, and have 74 double plays.

Hill has taken the ball for 1,409 innings and has earned 1,428 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.01 (628 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.259. He has surrendered 1,231 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 543 walks. Hill (90-74 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.95 and he has faced 5,954 batters during his time in the majors.

The Cubs hold a slugging % of .447 and they are scoring 5.28 runs per outing (2nd in baseball). They have 170 doubles, while walking 338 times as well as scoring 523 runs. Chicago has accounted for 148 long balls so far this year to go along with 512 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 763 occasions (26th in MLB) and have recorded 874 base hits. The Chicago Cubs hold an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .256 so far this year.

The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 400 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.80 (372 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 120 home runs and they concede 4.08 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.224 with a FIP of 4.19 as a unit for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (745 strikeouts against 267 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 813.

Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 29.2% out of their 96 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 100 times in high leverage situations and on 70 occasions with runners on. With 101 save situations, the Cubs have 63 holds and also 11 blown saves. They sit at 7th in MLB holding a save rate of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 327 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have come away with 24 saves.

In their 7,701 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (6th in MLB). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 79 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in professional baseball). The Cubs have accrued 813 assists, 38 errors and have accounted for 2,567 putouts for the year.

So far in his career, Boyd has allowed 991 base hits while totaling 993 K's in 1,019 innings. Boyd (56-72 career record) has earned a 4.57 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 518 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.283 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and he has gone up against 4,336 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+125)

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