Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (-275) Milwaukee (+220)

American Family Field is the location where the Milwaukee Brewers (0-3) will try to defeat the Kansas City Royals (1-2) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Kansas City at -275 and Milwaukee is sitting at +220. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Michael Lorenzen and Freddy Peralta.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 3.3 runs per game, which has them at 20th in the league. They have racked up 10 runs while holding a team OBP of .279. The Royals have hit 5 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 2 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 10 RBI's in addition to 22 hits so far this season, and their team batting average comes in at .218. Kansas City has a slugging rate of .347 and have been called out on strikes 20 times, while being walked on 7 occasions.

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The Royals hold a team ERA of 4.82 on the campaign (23rd in the league), and the staff has struck out 16 hitters. Royals pitchers have surrendered 5 home runs and also 16 runs in total (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 13 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 5.20 as a unit on the season. Kansas City has conceded 26 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 15 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.23 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.39.

Royals relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 3 times in addition to having 4 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 1 holds this year (21st in baseball). The Royals relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 50.0% and has entered the game in 3 save situations. They have 1 save so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 3 base runners so far this year with 33.3% of those runners crossed the plate. The Royals have sent 12 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros have a tally of 84 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 32 assists and 0 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at 1.000 which puts them in 4th in the majors, and have a total of 4 double plays. The Royals have turned 75.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 252 innings on the field, which has them ranked 10th in the majors.

Lorenzen has taken the mound for 854 frames and is sitting with 699 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 3.99 (379 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.311. He has given up 772 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 348 walks. Lorenzen (47-44 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.93 while he has gone up against 3,608 batters in the majors.

The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with an on-base percentage of .298 as well as a batting average of .236 for the season. They have been rung up on 32 occasions (11th in MLB) and have tallied 26 hits. Milwaukee has compiled 3 HRs so far this year as well as 12 runs batted in. The Brewers hold a team slugging percentage of .345 and they earn 4.67 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have put up 3 doubles, while taking a walk 8 times and putting up 14 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 36 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 12.75 (34 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 15 homers and they give up 13.50 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league). The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 2.083 and have a FIP of 11.38 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (21 strikeouts against 16 free passes). They are sitting at 26th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 34.

The Brewers have earned 0 holds and 0 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 0 save chances. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 0 times in high leverage situations and also on 3 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 75.0% of 4 inherited runners. They rank 28th in MLB holding a save rate of 0.0%, and they have dispatched 13 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 1 double play and have a fielding percentage of .978 (26th in baseball). The Brewers have accrued 15 assists, 2 errors and have amassed 72 putouts on the season. In 216 innings played, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (17th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Peralta has conceded 570 base hits while tallying 949 K's in 754 innings. Peralta (53-36 career win-loss record) has a 3.80 earned run average while allowing 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 318 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.146 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.23 and he has faced 3,130 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+220) and under 8 runs

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