Kansas City Royals vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 9/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (-132) Sacramento (+110)

The Sacramento Athletics (75-83) will go up against the Kansas City Royals (79-79) at Sutter Health Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Royals at -132 while the Athletics open at +110. The total comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Michael Wacha and Mitch Spence.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which has them at 27th in baseball. They have earned a total of 626 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .308. The Royals have recorded 283 doubles as a team and have smacked 154 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 615 runs batted in and 1,304 base knocks this season, and their team batting average comes in at .247. Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 1,065 times, while drawing a walk on 420 occasions.

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The Royals are sitting with a team ERA of 3.75 for the year (6th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,228 hitters. Royals pitchers have surrendered 167 home runs in addition to 625 total runs (4th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 468 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.03 as a squad over the course of the season. Kansas City has surrendered 1,280 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 583 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.62 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Royals relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 69.7% and have come into the game in 151 save situations. The relievers have inherited 210 base runners for the year and 27.1% of them crossed home plate. Royals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 155 times in addition to having 166 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have dispatched 532 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have 84 holds over the course of the season (19th in baseball). They have accumulated 46 saves for the year and have blown 20 of 66 save opportunities.

The Houston Astros have 4,203 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,400 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and they have turned 130 double plays. The Royals have turned 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,609 innings, which has them sitting 6th in baseball.

Wacha has thrown 1,620 frames and has earned 1,411 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Wacha (110-75 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.85 while he has gone up against 6,824 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.90 (703 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.277. He has given up 1,569 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 500 walks.

The Athletics have a SLG% of .432 and they earn 4.56 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have recorded 287 doubles, while walking 489 times as well as scoring 720 runs. Sacramento has knocked in 216 home runs this season as well as 696 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,364 occasions (10th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,370 hits. The Sacramento Athletics have an on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a batting average of .253 so far this year.

The Athletics have a WHIP of 1.356 in addition to having a FIP of 4.66 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (1,291 strikeouts vs 552 walks). They come in at 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,348. They have conceded 217 long balls and they yield 5.07 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Sacramento pitching staff have allowed 790 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.66 (726 earned runs yielded).

Sacramento relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.2% out of their 228 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 139 times in high leverage situations and also on 156 occasions with runners on base. With 122 save situations, the Athletics have earned 67 holds and 20 blown saves. They are currently ranked 14th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have sent 496 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Sacramento has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 55 save opportunities and they have come away with 35 saves.

In 12,615 innings on the field, the Athletics hold a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (16th in the majors). The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 108 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Athletics have recorded 1,181 assists, 84 errors and have notched a total of 4,205 putouts during this campaign.

During his MLB career, Spence has surrendered 254 base hits while totaling 191 strikeouts in 232 innings pitched. Spence (11-16 record in his career) has a 4.73 ERA while conceding 9.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 122 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.395 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and he has faced 1,010 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sacramento (+110)

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