Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, August 15, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+150) Boston (-182)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (66-56) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (58-62) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Marlins at +150 while the Red Sox are at -182. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Sandy Alcantara and Lucas Giolito.

Miami is slugging .397 and have been called out on strikes 946 times, while being walked on 366 occasions. They have 501 runs batted in and 1,033 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is at .252. The Marlins have earned 201 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 117 balls out of the park. They have a total of 521 runs while holding a team OBP of .316. As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.3 runs/g, which has them at 17th in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Marlins pitchers have relinquished 134 long balls and also 573 runs (24th in the league). Miami has surrendered 1,015 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) and 534 earned runs. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.52 over the course of the season (24th in MLB), and they have rung up 947 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 370 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a team on the campaign.

The Marlins have dispatched 371 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 129 base runners for the season and 31.0% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 29 saves on the season and have missed out on 19 out of their 48 chances to save the game. The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 60.4% and have entered the game in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have 66 holds this year (18th in the league). Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 89 times and also have had 125 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Marlins have turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,579 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 16th in baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers have 3,193 putouts for the season, as well as 1,030 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which is 17th in professional baseball, and have 84 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the mound for 1,021 frames and has earned 879 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.70 (420 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.193. He has allowed 898 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 320 free passes. Alcantara (47-66 career mark) has a FIP of 3.65 and he has gone up against 4,216 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .325 and a batting average of .254 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,087 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have tallied 1,065 hits. Boston has hit 149 long balls on the campaign to go along with 588 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .430 and they average 5.03 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have 250 doubles, while getting a free base 397 times as well as scoring 614 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.302 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,013. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 521 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.75 (454 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.20 (1,000 strikeouts against 407 walks). They have allowed 123 long balls and they allow 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Sitting with 120 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 64 holds and 22 blown saves. Boston has had relievers step onto the mound in 54 save chances and they have tallied 32 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 146 times in high leverage situations and also on 121 occasions with runners on. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.7% out of their 163 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 59.3%, and they have dispatched 397 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 101 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 1,117 assists, 96 errors and have accumulated 3,273 putouts during this campaign. In 9,819 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Giolito has allowed 978 base hits while he has totaled 1,159 punch outs in 1,113 innings pitched. Giolito (69-64 record in his career) has a 4.37 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 541 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.254 and having a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.77 and he has faced 4,677 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+150)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here