Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/10/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+172) Cincinnati (-210)

The Miami Marlins (41-48) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Thursday where they will play the Cincinnati Reds (46-45). The odds on this game have Miami at +172 and Cincinnati is opening at -210. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Cal Quantrill and Nick Lodolo.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which ranks them 18th in the league. They have earned a total of 375 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314. The Marlins have accrued 148 doubles as a unit and have knocked 80 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 361 runs batted in and 770 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is at .253. Miami is slugging .390 and have been called out on strikes 721 times, while being walked on 263 occasions.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.66 on the year (25th in the league), and they have struck out 702 batters. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 99 home runs and 442 runs in total (25th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 291 batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a squad so far this season. Miami has allowed 773 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 411 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.41 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

The Marlins bullpen have compiled a save rate of 61.1% and have entered the game in 86 save situations. The relievers have inherited 114 runners so far this season with 31.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 78 times and also have had 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 289 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers are sitting with 49 holds this year (20th in MLB). They have tallied 22 saves for the year and have missed out on 14 out of their 36 save chances.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned a total of 2,382 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 784 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which is 17th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 63 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,146 innings, which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball.

Quantrill (46-41 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.14 while he has faced 3,394 batters in the majors. He has given up 798 base knocks (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 257 walks. His ERA is 4.20 (371 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.327. Quantrill has taken the ball for 795 frames and has accumulated 599 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Cincinnati Reds have compiled an on-base percentage of .316 as well as a batting average of .245 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 793 occasions (7th in the league) and have tallied 745 base knocks. Cincinnati has tallied 96 HRs on the campaign to go along with 395 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .395 and they score 4.57 runs per outing (10th in baseball). They have recorded 147 two-baggers, while getting a free base 299 times as well as putting up 416 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 388 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.96 (353 earned runs yielded). They have given up 111 HR's and they surrender 4.35 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.241 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.24 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.20 (734 strikeouts vs 280 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 717.

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 33 save chances and they have earned 22 saves. They sit at 10th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 309 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 82 times in high leverage situations and on 71 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.6% out of their 110 inherited base runners. With 91 save situations, the Reds have compiled 56 holds and also 11 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 51 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in pro baseball). The Reds have recorded 691 assists, 47 errors and have earned 2,411 putouts for the season. Out of their 7,233 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (3rd in the majors).

Lodolo (20-20 record in his career) has earned a 4.26 ERA and has given up 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has gone up against 1,522 batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 167 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.251 and having a FIP of 4.2. During his career, Lodolo has conceded 334 hits while he has earned 393 strikeouts in 353 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+172)

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