Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+126) Cleveland (-152)

Progressive Field is the site where the Cleveland Guardians (61-56) will play the Miami Marlins (57-61) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Miami at +126 while Cleveland is at -152. The total is 9. The starting pitchers will be Janson Junk and Logan Allen.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are knocking in 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB. They have tallied 505 runs while holding a team OBP of .315. The Marlins have accrued 196 doubles as a team and have knocked 113 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 486 runs batted in as well as 1,011 hits for the season, while their average at the plate sits at .251. Miami has a slugging % of .394 and have been called out on strikes 930 times, while being walked on 356 occasions.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.52 so far this season (24th in the league), and their staff has rung up 931 batters. Marlins pitchers have allowed 129 home runs and also 565 runs in total (24th in the league). They have walked 369 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.14 as a unit so far this season. Miami has allowed 1,003 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 526 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.52 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.31.

The Marlins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 60.4% and stepped onto the hill in 115 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 129 base runners this season and 31.0% of those players crossed the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 89 times in addition to having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 365 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have racked up 66 holds for the year (15th in baseball). They have tallied 29 saves on the year and have not converted 19 of their 48 save chances.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a total of 3,142 putouts for the season, as well as 1,016 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball, and they have turned 83 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,426 innings, ranking them 18th in the majors.

Junk has taken the hill for 110 innings and is sitting with 84 K's in his pro baseball career. Junk (7-5 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.91 while he has gone up against 472 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.99 (61 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.362. He has given up 131 hits (10.7 hits per nine innings) and has 19 walks.

The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .377 and they score 3.98 runs per outing (26th in MLB). They have put up 178 doubles, while taking a walk 375 times as well as scoring 466 runs. Cleveland has compiled 123 home runs so far this year to go along with 448 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 957 occasions (18th in MLB) and are sitting with 879 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have accumulated a team OBP of .301 and a batting average of .228 this season.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.297 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a squad for the season. They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 938. The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 485 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.83 (443 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (987 strikeouts vs 412 walks). They have yielded 126 home runs and they allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).

Cleveland relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.9% out of their 142 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 137 times in high leverage situations and also on 102 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Guardians have 83 holds and 16 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in baseball with a save rate of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 390 relievers onto the diamond this year. Cleveland has had relievers enter the contest in 51 save opportunities and they have walked away with 35 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 88 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors). The Guardians have 961 assists, 77 errors and have amassed 3,125 putouts on the campaign. In their 9,375 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in professional baseball).

Allen (22-22 record in his career) holds a 4.43 ERA and has given up 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.14 and he has faced 1,455 batters so far in his career. He has given up a total of 165 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.446 and a FIP of 4.4. In his MLB career, Allen has surrendered 352 base knocks while earning 285 punch outs in 335 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-152)

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