Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 6/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+132) Chicago (-160)

The Chicago Cubs (45-28) will try to beat the Milwaukee Brewers (39-35) at Wrigley Field on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at +132 while the Cubs are opening at -160. The total comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Freddy Peralta and Cade Horton.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are earning 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 13th in the league. They have earned a total of 319 runs scored while having a team OBP of .313. The Brewers have hit 102 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 66 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 295 runs batted in in addition to 581 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is at .237. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .366 and have been called out on strikes 613 times, while taking a walk on 251 occasions.

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The Brewers have a team earned run average of 3.80 for the season (14th in the league), and their staff has rung up 611 hitters. Brewers pitchers have conceded 78 long balls and also 300 runs (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 262 opposing players and their FIP is 4.07 as a team over the course of the season. Milwaukee has relinquished 589 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) and 277 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.33 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Brewers relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 70 times in addition to having 85 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 47 holds this season (10th in MLB). The Brewers bullpen have a save rate of 65.5% and have come into the game in 78 save situations. They have recorded 19 saves for the year and have blown 10 of their 29 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 105 base runners for the year and 34.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have sent 258 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Brewers have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,898 innings, ranking them 13th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 1,966 putouts on the year, in addition to 583 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 21st in MLB, and have earned 54 double plays.

Peralta (59-40 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.62 while facing 3,473 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 632 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 326 walks. His earned run average is 3.68 (342 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.144. Peralta has taken the hill for 837 innings and is sitting with 1,033 K's during his MLB career.

The Cubs hold a slugging % of .436 and they average 5.34 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have put up 133 doubles, while walking 255 times as well as scoring 390 runs. Chicago has hit 99 long balls on the campaign to go along with 382 runs batted in. They have struck out on 579 occasions (19th in baseball) and have notched a total of 643 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs have earned an on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a batting average of .254 on the season.

The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 283 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.56 (259 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 75 dingers and they allow 3.89 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.223 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.80 (566 strikeouts against 205 walks). They come in at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 595.

Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 26 save chances and they have recorded 18 saves. They sit at 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 69.2%, and they have sent 246 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 55 occasions with runners on base. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.1% out of their 74 inherited runners. With 77 save situations, the Cubs have 49 holds and also 8 blown saves.

In 5,892 innings on the diamond, the Cubs hold a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (10th in baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 64 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (6th in professional baseball). The Cubs have 631 assists, 31 errors and have earned 1,964 putouts this season.

Horton (3-1 career mark) has a 3.49 ERA while giving up 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 153 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 14 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.219 and having a FIP of 3.4. During his MLB career, Horton has allowed 36 base knocks while he has earned 29 K's in 36 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-160) and under 8 runs

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