Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 5/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-196) Pittsburgh (+162)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (17-34) are welcoming the Milwaukee Brewers (25-26) at PNC Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Milwaukee at -196 while Pittsburgh is coming in at +162. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers are Logan Henderson and Bailey Falter.

Milwaukee owns a slugging percentage of .354 and have struck out 412 times, while being walked on 175 occasions. They have 200 RBI's in addition to 387 hits on the year, while their team batting average is at .230. The Brewers have accounted for 66 two-baggers as a team and have hit 44 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 220 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .308. As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 4.3 runs per contest, which is 15th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.16 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.33. Brewers pitchers have relinquished 56 home runs in addition to 224 total runs (22nd in baseball). Milwaukee has conceded 408 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 206 earned runs. The Brewers have compiled a team earned run average of 4.13 on the season (21st in the league), and the staff has struck out 408 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 189 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.28 as a unit on the campaign.

Brewers pitchers have come into the game with players on base 53 times as well as having 56 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 34 holds so far this season (6th in MLB). The Brewers bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 64.7% and stepped onto the hill in 53 save situations. They have tallied 11 saves on the season and have blown 6 out of their 17 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 83 base runners this year and 37.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Brewers have dispatched 189 relievers to the mound this season.

The Brewers have turned 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,038 innings, which has them sitting at 14th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have 1,346 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 386 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which puts them in 25th in MLB, and have earned 37 double plays.

Henderson has thrown 16 innings and has totaled 23 K's during his career. His earned run average is 1.69 (3 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 0.813. He has surrendered 9 base knocks (5.1 hits per 9 innings) with 4 free passes. Henderson (3-0 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 1.66 and he has faced 59 batters in the major leagues.

The Pirates hold a team SLG% of .322 and they are scoring 2.96 runs per contest (30th in the league). They have hit 58 doubles, while getting a free base 180 times and putting up 151 runs. Pittsburgh has 34 home runs this year to go along with 147 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 439 instances (6th in baseball) and have earned 366 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled a team OBP of .300 and a batting average of .219 so far this year.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 3.86 as a squad this season. They have a ranking of 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 407. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 219 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.05 (204 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.40 (372 strikeouts against 163 bases on balls). They have surrendered 42 homers and they give up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball).

Pittsburgh has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 19 save chances and they have tallied 10 saves. They are ranked 25th in baseball with a save percentage of 52.6%, and they have sent 168 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relievers have come in 54 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.7% out of 77 inherited runners. With 48 save situations, the Pirates have recorded 28 holds and 9 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 47 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in baseball). The Pirates have 456 assists, 29 errors and have a total of 1,359 putouts for the season. In 4,077 innings played, the Pirates are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in pro baseball).

Falter (21-26 mark in his career) holds a 4.47 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and he has faced 1,638 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 196 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.268 and a FIP of 4.4. In his MLB career, Falter has given up 394 base hits and he has 304 K's in 394 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+162)

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