Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Cincinnati (-145)

The Cincinnati Reds (38-35) will take on the Minnesota Twins (36-36) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Twins at +125 and the Reds open at -145. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Chris Paddack and Nick Martinez.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.2 runs per outing, which ranks them 20th in MLB. They have tallied 300 runs scored and have an OBP of .312. The Twins have accounted for 113 doubles as a unit and have smacked 76 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 288 RBI's as well as 585 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is .242. Minnesota has a slugging rate of .389 and have been called out on strikes 602 times, while drawing a walk on 209 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.19 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22. Twins pitchers have allowed 75 home runs and 294 runs in total (13th in the league). Minnesota has surrendered 576 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 272 earned runs. The Twins are sitting with a team ERA of 3.87 this year (15th in the league), and their staff has struck out 626 batters. They have walked 196 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.72 as a unit this season.

Twins pitchers have entered the game with runners on 51 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 50 holds on the year (5th in baseball). The Twins relief pitchers have a save rate of 51.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 79 save situations. They have recorded 14 saves this year and have blown 13 of their 27 save chances. The relievers have inherited 72 base runners for the season with 36.1% of those players ended up scoring. The Twins have dispatched 247 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for 1,900 putouts this year, in addition to 536 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them ranked 20th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 35 double plays. The Twins have turned 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,700 innings, which ranks them 17th in MLB.

Paddack has taken the mound for 498 innings and has racked up 470 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.37 (242 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.198. He has allowed 485 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 112 walks. Paddack (29-30 career record) has a FIP of 4.31 and he has gone up against 2,086 batters during his time in the majors.

Cincinnati has accounted for 82 home runs on the season as well as 328 RBIs. They have put up 122 doubles, while walking 259 times and putting up 341 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an on-base percentage of .322 and a batting average of .247 for the year. The Reds hold a team SLG% of .403 and they score 4.67 runs per outing (8th in MLB). They have struck out on 638 instances (6th in the league) and have earned a total of 606 base knocks.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.204 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.15 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (582 strikeouts against 219 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 559. They have conceded 86 homers and they concede 4.17 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 299 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.80 (273 earned runs given up).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.8% out of their 77 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 65 times in high leverage situations and also on 48 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 77 save situations, the Reds have recorded 47 holds and also 8 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in baseball with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 242 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 28 save chances and they have converted 20 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 45 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in baseball). The Reds have recorded 564 assists, 35 errors and have a tally of 1,938 putouts for the year. In their 5,814 innings on the field, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (2nd in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Martinez has surrendered 857 base knocks while earning 612 punch outs in 854 innings. Martinez (41-52 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.08 earned run average and has conceded 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 387 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.314 and having a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.31 and he has gone up against 3,632 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+125)

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