Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+220) Philadelphia (-275)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) will attempt to defeat the Minnesota Twins (69-90) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Twins at +220 while the Phillies are at -275. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Simeon Woods Richardson and Cristopher Sanchez.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.2 runs/g, which is 22nd in the league. They have 671 runs while holding a team OBP of .311. The Twins have accrued 245 doubles as a team and have smacked 187 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 636 runs batted in in addition to 1,274 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average sits at .239. Minnesota is slugging .397 and have struck out 1,334 times, while being walked on 489 occasions.

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The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.62 for the season (25th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,336 hitters. Twins pitchers have conceded 192 home runs and also 768 runs in total (24th in baseball). They have walked 455 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.14 as a team over the course of the season. Minnesota has allowed 1,394 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and also 718 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.94 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32.

Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 115 times and also have had 169 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 93 holds on the year (10th in the league). The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 53.8% and stepped onto the hill in 147 save situations. They have 28 saves so far this season and have blown 24 of their 52 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 165 base runners on the campaign with 35.8% of them ended up scoring. The Twins have sent 533 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a tally of 4,200 putouts this season, in addition to 1,190 assists and 83 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them ranked 18th in baseball, and have accumulated 97 double plays. The Twins have turned 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,600 innings, which has them ranked 26th in the majors.

Woods Richardson has thrown 248 innings and has racked up 223 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.32 (119 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.326. He has given up 230 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 99 free passes. Woods Richardson (12-10 career record) has a FIP of 4.25 while he has gone up against 1,065 batters in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an OBP of .330 as well as a batting average of .260 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,301 occasions (19th in the league) and are sitting with 1,409 hits. Philadelphia is sitting with 210 home runs this season and 748 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .434 and they score 4.86 runs per game (8th in the league). They have tallied 267 two-baggers, while taking a walk 524 times as well as earning 773 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.240 and have a FIP of 3.73 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,433 strikeouts vs 429 free passes). They come in at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,322. They have allowed 173 homers and they relinquish 4.09 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 641 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.82 (600 earned runs conceded).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.4% out of their 148 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 176 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on. With 159 save situations, the Phillies have earned 83 holds and 27 blown saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 63.0%, and they have sent 496 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 73 save opportunities and they have converted 46 saves.

In their 12,711 innings on the field, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (22nd in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 103 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 1,362 assists, 62 errors and have accumulated 4,237 putouts this season.

Sanchez (30-21 career record) has earned a 3.28 earned run average while surrendering 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.91 and he has gone up against 2,175 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 193 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.173 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. During his MLB career, Sanchez has allowed 493 base knocks while he has earned 501 K's in 529 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+220)

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