New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Arizona (+126)

The New York Mets (23-13) are hitting the road to Chase Field on Wednesday where they will meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (18-17). The odds on this game have New York at -152 while Arizona is sitting at +126. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Merrill Kelly.

New York has a slugging percentage of .418 and have been called out on strikes 260 times, while drawing a walk on 130 occasions. They have accrued 161 runs batted in in addition to 297 hits this season, while their team batting average is at .252. The Mets have accounted for 65 doubles as a unit and have hit 38 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 168 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .333. As a squad, the New York Mets are compiling 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in the league.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 2.87 on the campaign (2nd in MLB), and their staff has struck out 322 hitters. Mets pitchers have given up 18 long balls in addition to 112 runs in total (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 113 opposing hitters and their FIP is 2.98 as a unit so far this year. New York has given up 273 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 99 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 32 times as well as having 45 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 29 holds this season (3rd in baseball). The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and have come into the game in 44 save situations. They have tallied 10 saves this year and have missed out on 5 of 15 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 46 runners on the year and 28.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 114 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Mets have converted 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 2,790 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 22nd in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 930 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 296 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which has them sitting 7th in the majors, and they have turned 25 double plays.

Senga (16-9 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 2.70 while facing 844 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 154 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 90 walks. His earned run average is 2.74 (62 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.200. Senga has taken the mound for 203 innings and has racked up 242 punch outs in his career.

Arizona has compiled 43 home runs so far this year to go along with 171 runs batted in. They have recorded 71 two-baggers, while taking a walk 137 times and notching 176 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have recorded an on-base percentage of .330 as well as a batting average of .247 on the season. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging % of .431 and they are scoring 5.18 runs per game (4th in the league). They have been rung up on 264 instances (24th in the league) and have totaled 284 base hits.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 4.30 as a unit for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (300 strikeouts against 111 free passes). They are currently ranked 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 285. They have yielded 46 long balls and they allow 5.02 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 170 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.49 (152 earned runs relinquished).

Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 18 save opportunities and they have walked away with 11 saves. They sit at 18th in baseball with a save rate of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 103 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 39 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on. Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.4% of 32 inherited runners. Sitting with 43 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accrued 24 holds in addition to 7 blown saves.

In 2,745 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (18th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 24 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have recorded 307 assists, 21 errors and have 915 putouts on the campaign.

In his MLB career, Kelly has surrendered 778 hits while accumulating 771 punch outs in 861 frames. Kelly (56-45 record in his career) holds a 3.83 earned run average and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up 367 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.210 and having a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has faced 3,548 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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