New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Atlanta (+120)

The Atlanta Braves (31-39) host the New York Mets (45-27) at Truist Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -144 while Atlanta is opening at +120. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be David Peterson and Spencer Schwellenbach.

The Mets have recorded 119 two-baggers as a team and have hit 91 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .421 and have struck out 554 times, while drawing a walk on 268 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 10th in MLB. They have tallied 319 runs batted in and 595 hits for the year, while their team batting average sits at .247. They have accumulated 328 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .332.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 2.97 so far this year (1st in baseball), and the staff has struck out 636 batters. Mets pitchers have given up 52 long balls and 248 runs in total (2nd in baseball). They have walked 254 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.46 as a unit on the campaign. New York has given up 549 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 212 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.50 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25.

The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 62.9% and have entered the game in 85 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 107 runners on the year and 28.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 72 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 225 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen have accumulated 50 holds so far this year (5th in baseball). They have earned 22 saves for the season and have blown 13 out of their 35 save chances.

The Mets have converted 70.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,790 innings, which has them ranked 15th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 1,930 putouts thus far, as well as 646 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which has them ranked 15th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 59 double plays.

Peterson has thrown 533 innings and has accounted for 535 punch outs during his MLB career. Peterson (33-26 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.79 and he has faced 2,278 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.85 (228 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.348. He has surrendered 497 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 222 free passes.

Atlanta has tallied 76 home runs on the season and 279 RBIs. They have put up 96 two-baggers, while taking a walk 238 times as well as scoring 290 runs. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .245 this season. The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .387 and they tally 4.14 runs per contest (21st in baseball). They have struck out on 604 occasions (12th in baseball) and have earned 583 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 278 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (258 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 77 home runs and they allow 4.05 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.230 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a unit over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.30 (638 strikeouts vs 228 bases on balls). They rank 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 532.

Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 22 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves. They are ranked 28th in MLB with a save percentage of 45.5%, and they have sent 219 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 73 times in high leverage situations and on 75 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.7% of 104 inherited runners. With 49 save situations, the Braves have 27 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

In 5,565 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 49 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in pro baseball). The Braves have recorded 614 assists, 29 errors and have earned 1,855 putouts over the course of the season.

Schwellenbach (13-11 career win-loss mark) has a 3.26 ERA while surrendering 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.70 and he has faced 858 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 77 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.031 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. In his MLB career, Schwellenbach has conceded 182 base hits while accumulating 211 K's in 212 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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