New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Atlanta (+106)

Truist Park is the site where the Atlanta Braves (31-39) will compete against the New York Mets (45-27) on Wednesday. The line on this contest has New York at -128 while Atlanta is at +106. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Paul Blackburn and Chris Sale.

New York has a slugging rate of .421 and have struck out 554 times, while taking a walk on 268 occasions. They have 319 RBI's and 595 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .247. The Mets have accounted for 119 doubles as a team and have hit 91 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 328 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .332. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in MLB.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Mets pitchers have given up 52 home runs in addition to 248 total runs (2nd in baseball). New York has surrendered 549 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and also 212 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 2.97 this season (1st in MLB), and the staff has struck out 636 hitters. They have walked 254 hitters and their FIP is 3.46 as a unit for the year.

The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 62.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 85 save situations. The relievers have inherited 107 base runners for the season and 28.0% of those runners crossed the plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 72 times as well as having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 225 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have notched 50 holds on the year (5th in baseball). They have compiled 22 saves for the season and have missed out on 13 out of their 35 save chances.

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 1,930 putouts on the year, as well as 646 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 15th in pro baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays. The Mets have turned 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 5,790 innings, which has them ranked 16th in MLB.

Blackburn has pitched in 437 frames and has racked up 335 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.90 (238 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.414. He has surrendered 484 base knocks (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has 134 free passes. Blackburn (22-28 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.83 while he has faced 1,893 hitters in the major leagues.

Atlanta has 76 home runs on the season to go along with 279 RBIs. They have recorded 96 doubles, while getting a free base 238 times as well as scoring 290 runs. The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .318 as well as a team batting average of .245 this season. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .387 and they earn 4.14 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have been rung up on 604 occasions (14th in the league) and have recorded 583 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 278 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (258 earned runs given up). They have conceded 77 HR's and they relinquish 4.05 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball). The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.230 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (638 strikeouts against 228 walks). They come in at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 532.

Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 22 save chances and they have recorded 10 saves. They rank 29th in MLB holding a save rate of 45.5%, and they have sent 219 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 73 times in high leverage situations and also on 75 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.7% out of 104 inherited base runners. With 49 save situations, the Braves have 27 holds and 12 blown saves.

In 5,565 innings on the field, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (12th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 49 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (5th in baseball). The Braves have recorded 614 assists, 29 errors and have accounted for 1,855 putouts for the year.

In his pro baseball career, Sale has allowed 1,663 base knocks while he has tallied 2,521 punch outs in 2,038 innings pitched. Sale (142-87 career win-loss mark) has a 3.03 earned run average and has allowed 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 686 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.051 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.25 and he has gone up against 8,217 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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