New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-210) Atlanta (+172)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (32-39) will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (45-28) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at -210 and Atlanta is priced at +172. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Clay Holmes and Spencer Strider.

New York has a slugging percentage of .421 and have struck out 565 times, while taking a walk on 270 occasions. They have 323 RBI's as well as 602 hits for the season, and their batting average is at .247. The Mets have accrued 120 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 93 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 332 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .331. As a team, the New York Mets are earning 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in baseball.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 2.98 so far this year (1st in the league), and their staff has rung up 641 hitters. Mets pitchers have given up 52 home runs and also 253 runs (2nd in the league). They have walked 259 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.46 as a unit for the season. New York has allowed 556 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) as well as 216 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.47 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 74 times and also have had 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 50 holds so far this year (6th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 61.1% and stepped onto the hill in 86 save situations. They have earned 22 saves for the season and have blown 14 of 36 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners for the season with 29.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 228 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 1,959 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 660 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 15th in baseball, and have 61 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,877 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball.

Holmes has taken the ball for 415 innings and has 428 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.55 (164 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.279. He has surrendered 353 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 178 walks. Holmes (31-25 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.50 while facing 1,782 batters in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have tallied an on-base percentage of .318 and a team batting average of .245 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 609 occasions (15th in the league) and have a total of 590 base hits. Atlanta has compiled 76 long balls for the season and 284 RBIs. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .385 and they average 4.15 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have recorded 97 two-baggers, while taking a walk 243 times and earning 295 runs.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.224 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (649 strikeouts vs 230 free passes). They have a ranking of 4th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 539. They have relinquished 79 dingers and they allow 4.04 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 282 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.75 (262 earned runs relinquished).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.7% out of 104 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 75 times in high leverage situations and on 76 occasions with runners on base. With 49 save situations, the Braves have earned 27 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They are ranked 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 45.5%, and they have dispatched 222 relievers to the mound this year. Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the game in 22 save chances and they have walked away with 10 saves.

In their 5,655 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (11th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 51 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in baseball). The Braves have recorded 625 assists, 29 errors and have 1,885 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Strider has given up 268 base hits while he has earned 532 K's in 360 frames. He has surrendered 142 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.080 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.40 and he has faced 1,471 opposing batters during his career. Strider (33-15 mark in his career) has earned a 3.55 ERA while giving up 6.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-210)

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