New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Atlanta (+125)

The Atlanta Braves (58-69) host the New York Mets (67-59) at Truist Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -145 and the Braves are priced at +125. The betting total is set at 8. The men taking the mound are Clay Holmes and Erick Fedde.

New York is slugging .415 and have struck out 1,001 times, while taking a walk on 426 occasions. They have accumulated 539 runs batted in and 1,008 hits on the year, and their average at the plate comes in at .244. The Mets have hit 199 doubles as a team and have smacked 160 balls out of the park. They have tallied 554 runs scored while having a team OBP of .321. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 13th in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.32. Mets pitchers have allowed 115 home runs and 518 runs (10th in baseball). New York has surrendered 1,004 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 462 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 3.78 on the year (7th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,059 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 446 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a squad this year.

The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 62.1% and stepped onto the hill in 138 save situations. The relievers have inherited 197 runners for the year with 34.5% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 133 times and also have had 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 408 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The bullpen have tallied 80 holds on the year (7th in baseball). They have recorded 36 saves for the season and have blown 22 of their 58 chances to get a save.

The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 9,900 innings, which has them ranked 18th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have a total of 3,300 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,118 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which is 12th in MLB, and have a total of 91 double plays.

Holmes has pitched in 468 frames and has accumulated 465 K's so far in his MLB career. Holmes (34-28 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.64 while facing 2,021 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.69 (192 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.314. He has allowed 409 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 206 free passes.

The Braves hold a team SLG% of .394 and they tally 4.36 runs per contest (16th in the league). They have notched 187 two-baggers, while getting a free base 451 times as well as putting up 545 runs. Atlanta has hit 141 home runs on the year to go along with 526 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,087 occasions (8th in MLB) and have a total of 1,040 hits. The Atlanta Braves have tallied a team on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .244 on the season.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.298 and have a FIP of 4.13 as a staff on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,095 strikeouts vs 419 free passes). They sit at 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,017. They have given up 146 home runs and they surrender 4.53 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 557 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.29 (527 earned runs given up).

With 93 save situations, the Braves have recorded 54 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Atlanta has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 23 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 128 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of 169 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 59.0%, and they have dispatched 402 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 84 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Braves have 1,073 assists, 44 errors and have a total of 3,320 putouts on the campaign. In their 9,960 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (14th in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Fedde has allowed 780 base hits while he has tallied 581 punch outs in 751 innings pitched. He has allowed 412 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.439 and having a FIP of 4.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.93 and he has gone up against 3,270 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Fedde (34-54 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.93 ERA and has surrendered 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+125)

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