New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 7/8/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Baltimore (+150)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the location where the Baltimore Orioles (40-49) will play the New York Mets (52-39) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -182 and the Orioles are coming in at +150. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Clay Holmes and Tomoyuki Sugano.

As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB. They have earned a total of 402 runs while having a team OBP of .324. The Mets have accrued 142 doubles as a unit and have hit 118 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 392 RBI's as well as 744 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .245. New York is slugging .418 and have been rung up 710 times, while being walked on 311 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.54 on the year (6th in the league), and the staff has rung up 786 hitters. Mets pitchers have conceded 79 long balls in addition to 358 runs in total (9th in baseball). They have walked 334 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.77 as a unit on the year. New York has conceded 720 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 318 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.35 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 97 times in addition to having 108 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 59 holds over the course of the season (8th in the league). The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 61.9% and stepped onto the hill in 101 save situations. They have recorded 26 saves on the year and have missed out on 16 of 42 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 148 runners on the campaign with 34.5% of them ended up scoring. The Mets have dispatched 291 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Mets have turned 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of 7,272 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have earned 2,424 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 820 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which puts them in 12th in baseball, and they have turned 73 double plays.

Holmes (32-26 career record) has a FIP of 3.50 and he has faced 1,850 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has conceded 363 base hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) with 192 free passes. His earned run average is 3.56 (170 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.290. Holmes has pitched in 430 frames and has tallied 436 K's so far in his career.

The Orioles have a team slugging % of .400 and they earn 4.17 runs per game (20th in the league). They have put up 139 doubles, while taking a walk 252 times and putting up 371 runs. Baltimore has accumulated 107 long balls so far this season to go along with 350 RBIs. They have struck out on 788 occasions (7th in the league) and have 713 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for a team OBP of .305 and a batting average of .239 so far this year.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 453 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.94 (429 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 123 long balls and they yield 5.21 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.421 with a FIP of 4.47 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (734 strikeouts against 287 walks). They are sitting at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 824.

Sitting with 105 save situations, the Orioles have earned 68 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 95 times in high leverage situations and also on 103 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 18.4% of 136 inherited runners. They are ranked 11th in MLB with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 316 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 64 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (24th in professional baseball). The Orioles have racked up 779 assists, 49 errors and have a tally of 2,347 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 7,041 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (29th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Sugano has allowed 103 base knocks and he has 57 K's in 93 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 46 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 397 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Sugano (6-5 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.45 earned run average while giving up 10.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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