New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, May 20, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-275) Boston (+220)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (23-25) will attempt to beat the New York Mets (29-18) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -275 while Boston is sitting at +220. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Clay Holmes and Walker Buehler.

As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.5 runs per game, which has them at 12th in the league. They have earned a total of 212 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .329. The Mets have tallied 83 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 52 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 203 runs batted in as well as 385 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is at .247. New York has a slugging rate of .415 and have been called out on strikes 359 times, while taking a walk on 172 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26. Mets pitchers have given up 31 home runs and 156 runs in total (1st in the league). New York has surrendered 356 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 132 earned runs. The Mets have an ERA of 2.86 so far this season (1st in baseball), and they have rung up 420 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 168 batters and their FIP sits at 3.36 as a unit this season.

The Mets have dispatched 151 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 64 base runners on the year and 31.3% of them earned a run for their team. They have recorded 13 saves on the year and have blown 8 of 21 save chances. The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 61.9% and stepped onto the hill in 56 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 35 holds on the year (5th in baseball). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 42 times and also have had 62 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 1,245 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 407 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which ranks 17th in professional baseball, and have earned 33 double plays. The Mets have transformed 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 3,735 innings, ranking them 18th in pro baseball.

Holmes (29-24 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.59 and he has gone up against 1,663 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 330 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 170 walks. His ERA is 3.64 (156 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.298. Holmes has taken the mound for 385 frames and has accounted for 408 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Boston has knocked in 60 home runs so far this season and 224 runs batted in. They have put up 88 two-baggers, while walking 161 times and notching 234 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an OBP of .325 and a batting average of .254 on the campaign. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .423 and they score 4.88 runs per game (6th in MLB). They have been rung up on 437 occasions (3rd in MLB) and are sitting with 425 hits.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 226 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.16 (199 earned runs allowed). They have given up 48 long balls and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.346 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (400 strikeouts vs 151 bases on balls). They come in at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 428.

Sitting with 35 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 13 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 21 save opportunities and they have tallied 10 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 53 times in high leverage situations and on 41 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of their 55 inherited runners. They rank 28th in baseball holding a save rate of 47.6%, and they have dispatched 148 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 43 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 433 assists, 39 errors and have 1,292 putouts for the season. In their 3,876 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (28th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Buehler has allowed 620 hits and he has 783 punch outs in 746 innings. He has given up a total of 275 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.097 and a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.93 and he has gone up against 3,042 opposing hitters in his career. Buehler (51-23 mark in his career) holds a 3.32 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-275)

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