New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, September 6, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Cincinnati (+125)

The New York Mets (75-65) are on their way to Great American Ball Park on Saturday where they will try to beat the Cincinnati Reds (70-70). The odds on this game have New York at -145 while Cincinnati is coming in at +125. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Tylor Megill and Brady Singer.

The Mets have accumulated 231 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 193 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .431 and have been called out on strikes 1,114 times, while taking a walk on 497 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 9th in the league. They have 658 runs batted in as well as 1,185 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average comes in at .251. They have tallied 674 runs scored and hold an OBP of .330.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 3.91 this season (13th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,203 batters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 125 home runs in addition to 605 runs (15th in the league). They have walked 493 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a team on the campaign. New York has relinquished 1,149 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and also 539 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.44 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.32.

Mets bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 151 times as well as having 166 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 86 holds this season (8th in the league). The Mets relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.7% and stepped onto the hill in 147 save situations. They have accumulated 37 saves for the season and have missed out on 24 out of their 61 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 base runners on the year and 34.1% of those runners crossed home plate. The Mets have sent 458 relievers to the mound this year.

The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 3,720 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,259 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 11th in the majors, and have a total of 105 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,160 innings, which ranks them 23rd in baseball.

Megill (26-26 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.40 while going up against 1,788 batters in the majors. He has allowed 405 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 163 walks. His ERA is 4.46 (203 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.388. Megill has taken the hill for 409 innings and has totaled 435 strikeouts in his career.

The Reds have a SLG% of .393 and they earn 4.53 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have recorded 229 doubles, while taking a walk 456 times as well as racking up 634 runs. Cincinnati is sitting with 138 HRs for the year to go along with 598 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,216 occasions (8th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,173 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have earned an OBP of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .248 this season.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.250 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.16 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (1,186 strikeouts against 438 bases on balls). They come in at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,111. They have given up 166 long balls and they allow 4.41 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 607 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.95 (544 earned runs allowed).

Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 52 save opportunities and they have come away with 32 saves. They are ranked 20th in MLB with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have dispatched 481 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have come in 142 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.8% of 189 inherited runners. With 142 save situations, the Reds have accrued 88 holds in addition to 20 blown saves.

Out of their 11,157 innings on the diamond, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (8th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 90 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (26th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 1,059 assists, 80 errors and have earned 3,719 putouts on the season.

Singer (48-53 career mark) holds a 4.25 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 and he has gone up against 3,540 batters so far in his career. He has allowed a total of 391 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Singer has surrendered 823 base hits while tallying 785 K's in 828 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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