New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) Miami (+102)

The Miami Marlins (77-81) will take on the New York Mets (81-77) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets at -122 while the Marlins open at +102. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Sean Manaea and Eury Perez.

New York is slugging .429 and have been rung up 1,288 times, while being walked on 545 occasions. They have amassed 732 runs batted in in addition to 1,330 hits for the season, and their average at the plate sits at .250. The Mets have compiled 256 doubles as a team and have hit 220 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 751 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 10th in the league.

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The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.03 so far this season (18th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,356 batters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 145 home runs and 700 total runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 547 batters and their FIP is 3.89 as a unit so far this year. New York has conceded 1,311 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 626 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 58.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 164 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 251 base runners on the season and 34.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 171 times in addition to having 184 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 524 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have earned 96 holds this season (8th in the league). They have recorded 39 saves so far this year and have not converted 28 of 67 chances to save the game.

The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 4,194 putouts this year, as well as 1,436 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 13th in the majors, and they have turned 117 double plays. The Mets have converted 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,582 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 25th in pro baseball.

Manaea has taken the mound for 1,243 innings and has 1,181 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.09 (565 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.203. He has given up 1,150 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 345 free passes. Manaea (79-66 career record) has a FIP of 4.03 while he has gone up against 5,189 batters in the major leagues.

The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .315 as well as a team batting average of .251 on the season. They have been rung up on 1,224 occasions (27th in MLB) and have tallied 1,363 hits. Miami has 153 HRs over the course of the season and 667 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .396 and they are earning 4.42 runs per game (16th in MLB). They have 268 two-baggers, while taking a walk 470 times and putting up 699 runs.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.306 and have a FIP of 4.37 as a unit on the campaign. They rank 23rd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,350. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 790 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.66 (729 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.00 (1,254 strikeouts vs 489 free passes). They have conceded 197 homers and they concede 5.05 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Sitting with 148 save situations, the Marlins have 85 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 61 save chances and they have walked away with 39 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 168 times in high leverage situations and on 125 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of 180 inherited base runners. They rank 13th in the league holding a save percentage of 63.9%, and they have sent 501 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 104 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 1,352 assists, 84 errors and have notched a total of 4,225 putouts so far this season. In their 12,675 innings on the field, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (14th in MLB).

So far in his career, Perez has allowed 137 base knocks while he has earned 202 punch outs in 181 innings. He has conceded 74 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.088 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.37 and he has gone up against 737 batters in his career. Perez (12-11 career mark) is the owner of a 3.68 ERA while giving up 6.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+102)

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