New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Philadelphia (-132)

The Philadelphia Phillies (83-60) will take on the New York Mets (76-67) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +110 and the Phillies are priced at -132. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sean Manaea and Ranger Suarez.

As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in the league. They have tallied 684 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .329. The Mets have tallied 237 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 197 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 667 RBI's and 1,207 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .251. New York has a slugging rate of .431 and have been called out on strikes 1,145 times, while taking a walk on 508 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. Mets pitchers have yielded 128 home runs and 618 total runs (16th in the league). New York has allowed 1,168 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 552 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.93 on the campaign (15th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,230 hitters. They have walked 507 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.87 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 61.3% and have come into the game in 151 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 231 runners for the season with 33.8% of them crossed the plate. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 153 times as well as having 170 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 466 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have recorded 89 holds on the campaign (8th in MLB). They have tallied 38 saves so far this season and have missed out on 24 of 62 save opportunities.

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 3,795 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,284 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 10th in baseball, and they have turned 107 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,385 innings, which has them sitting 22nd in the majors.

Manaea (78-64 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.00 and he has faced 5,131 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 1,135 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 344 walks. His earned run average is 4.06 (555 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.203. Manaea has taken the mound for 1,229 innings and has tallied 1,168 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .258 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,155 occasions (20th in the league) and have accounted for 1,258 hits. Philadelphia has hit 178 home runs so far this year to go along with 657 RBIs. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .426 and they average 4.77 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have notched 237 doubles, while walking 470 times and racking up 682 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 575 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.82 (538 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 152 long balls and they concede 4.08 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.244 and have a FIP of 3.69 as a staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.20 (1,299 strikeouts against 390 free passes). They are sitting at 18th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,187.

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 63 save chances and they have converted 40 saves. They are currently ranked 14th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.5%, and they have dispatched 447 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their relievers have come in 157 times in high leverage situations and also on 95 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.9% out of their 140 inherited runners. With 137 save situations, the Phillies have 71 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

In their 11,415 innings on the diamond, the Phillies are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (25th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 92 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Phillies have 1,235 assists, 54 errors and have a total of 3,805 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Suarez has allowed 703 base hits while totaling 682 punch outs in 741 innings pitched. Suarez (52-35 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.33 ERA and has given up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 274 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.264 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and he has gone up against 3,108 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132)

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