New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals

Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-275) Washington (+220)

The New York Mets (66-58) are traveling to Nationals Park on Tuesday where they will compete against the Washington Nationals (50-74). The moneyline on this matchup has New York at -275 while Washington is sitting at +220. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be David Peterson and Jake Irvin.

As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 13th in baseball. They have notched a total of 554 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. The Mets have hit 199 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 160 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 539 runs batted in and 1,008 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is at .244. New York owns a slugging percentage of .415 and have been rung up 1,001 times, while being walked on 426 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.32. Mets pitchers have conceded 115 home runs and 518 total runs (10th in MLB). New York has surrendered 1,004 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 462 earned runs. The Mets have an ERA of 3.78 over the course of the season (8th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,059 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 446 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a unit for the year.

The Mets relievers have a save rate of 62.1% and have come into the game in 138 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 197 runners so far this season and 34.5% of them crossed the plate. Mets pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 133 times as well as having 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 408 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have accumulated 80 holds this season (7th in MLB). They have recorded 36 saves on the campaign and have not converted 22 out of their 58 save opportunities.

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 3,300 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,118 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which is 12th in pro baseball, and they have turned 91 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,900 innings, which ranks them 18th in professional baseball.

Peterson (35-29 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.85 while he has faced 2,520 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 551 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 247 walks. His ERA is 3.90 (256 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.352. Peterson has taken the ball for 590 innings and has tallied 581 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Washington Nationals have earned a team OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .244 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 970 instances (25th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,018 base hits. Washington has accumulated 118 long balls this season as well as 512 runs batted in. The Nationals hold a team slugging % of .388 and they earn 4.28 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have 206 two-baggers, while taking a walk 357 times and recording 531 runs.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.442 and have a FIP of 4.57 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (942 strikeouts against 418 free passes). They are currently ranked 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,153. They have given up 153 homers and they surrender 5.64 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Washington pitching staff have given up 682 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 5.33 (645 earned runs yielded).

Washington bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.6% out of their 217 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 128 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 89 save situations, the Nationals have compiled 49 holds and also 15 blown saves. They rank 17th in the league with a save rate of 61.5%, and they have sent 437 relievers to the mound for the season. Washington has had relievers enter the contest in 39 save chances and they have walked away with 24 saves.

The Washington Nationals have gotten 98 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Nationals have recorded 1,064 assists, 68 errors and have accumulated 3,268 putouts over the course of the season. In their 9,804 innings on the field, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (29th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Irvin has given up 437 hits and he has 349 K's in 448 innings. Irvin (21-28 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.70 ERA and has given up 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 234 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.316 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28 and he has faced 1,906 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+220)

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