New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, July 18, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Atlanta (+110)

The New York Yankees (53-43) are en route to Truist Park on Friday where they will play the Atlanta Braves (42-53). The odds on this game have New York at -130 while Atlanta is priced at +110. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Max Fried and Spencer Strider.

The Yankees have hit 170 two-baggers as a team and have hit 151 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .455 and have been called out on strikes 842 times, while drawing a walk on 373 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in MLB. They have compiled 480 RBI's as well as 836 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is .256. They are sitting with 501 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .336.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.82 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 859 hitters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 104 long balls and 390 total runs (12th in the league). They have walked 319 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.89 as a unit for the season. New York has given up 712 base knocks (7.5 per 9 innings) and 361 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.69 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.21.

The Yankees have dispatched 314 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 156 base runners for the season and 25.6% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 25 saves this season and have blown 10 of their 35 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.4% and have entered the game in 89 save situations. The bullpen have 53 holds this season (17th in the league). Yankees pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 103 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have turned 71.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,647 innings, which has them sitting 3rd in MLB. The New York Mets have earned 2,549 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 812 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which is 13th in the majors, and have a total of 61 double plays.

Fried has taken the hill for 1,006 innings and has accounted for 976 K's during his pro baseball career. Fried (84-39 career record) holds a FIP of 2.95 and he has gone up against 4,103 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.00 (335 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.145. He has given up 879 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 273 free passes.

The Atlanta Braves have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .243 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 819 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned a total of 784 base hits. Atlanta has compiled 105 home runs so far this year to go along with 375 RBIs. The Braves have a team SLG% of .388 and they score 4.08 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have 136 doubles, while walking 320 times and scoring 388 runs.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.244 with a FIP of 3.91 as a squad on the year. They rank 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 737. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 386 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.88 (362 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.40 (878 strikeouts vs 308 free passes). They have given up 109 dingers and they allow 4.13 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

Atlanta has had relief pitchers take the mound in 28 save chances and they have recorded 14 saves. They are currently ranked 27th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 301 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 95 times in high leverage situations and also on 97 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.9% out of their 129 inherited base runners. Sitting with 63 save situations, the Braves have accumulated 35 holds and also 14 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 64 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Braves have 815 assists, 33 errors and have notched a total of 2,522 putouts for the year. Out of their 7,566 innings played, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (12th in pro baseball).

Strider (35-17 career record) has a 3.55 ERA while giving up 6.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.28 and he has faced 1,597 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 154 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.089 and having a FIP of 3.5. So far in his MLB career, Strider has allowed 292 hits and he has 569 K's in 390 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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