New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, June 14, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-144) Boston (+120)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (34-36) will compete against the New York Yankees (41-25) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has New York at -144 while Boston is sitting at +120. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Carlos Rodon and Hunter Dobbins.

The Yankees have compiled 119 doubles as a unit and have hit 108 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .468 and have been rung up 580 times, while drawing a walk on 270 occasions. As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.5 runs per game, which has them at 2nd in MLB. They have recorded 352 RBI's as well as 586 hits so far this season, while their batting average is sitting at .261. They are sitting with 365 runs scored and have an OBP of .345.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.73 for the year (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 621 batters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 68 home runs and also 259 total runs (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 221 hitters and their FIP is 3.68 as a unit for the season. New York has conceded 481 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 242 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.20.

The Yankees have sent 217 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 110 base runners this year with 23.6% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 20 saves so far this season and have blown 7 of 27 save opportunities. The Yankees relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 74.1% and stepped onto the hill in 68 save situations. The relievers have racked up 40 holds this season (15th in MLB). Yankees relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 69 times as well as having 61 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Yankees have transformed 71.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,256 innings on the field, which ranks them 5th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 1,752 putouts thus far, in addition to 550 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which is 13th in MLB, and have a total of 37 double plays.

Rodon has thrown 1,170 innings and has accounted for 1,309 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Rodon (83-67 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.73 while he has gone up against 4,921 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.78 (492 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.228. He has allowed 1,003 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 434 walks.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .255 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 650 instances (1st in baseball) and are sitting with 623 base knocks. Boston is sitting with 88 home runs for the season to go along with 331 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a slugging % of .426 and they earn 4.93 runs per contest (5th in baseball). They have put up 136 doubles, while getting a free base 241 times and putting up 345 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 327 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.09 (286 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 70 long balls and they relinquish 4.67 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.341 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (587 strikeouts vs 234 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 611.

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 92 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 92 times in high leverage situations and also on 70 occasions with base runners. With 65 save situations, the Red Sox have 32 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They rank 25th in the league holding a save percentage of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 232 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves.

In 5,673 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (29th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 62 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .976 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 637 assists, 61 errors and have accounted for 1,891 putouts over the course of the season.

Thus far in his career, Dobbins has surrendered 53 base knocks and he has 37 K's in 49 frames. He has allowed 23 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.283 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.70 and he has gone up against 207 opposing hitters so far in his career. Dobbins (3-1 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.22 ERA and has conceded 9.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-144)

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