New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Boston (+132)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (34-36) will try to defeat the New York Yankees (42-25) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Yankees at -160 and the Red Sox are opening at +132. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Max Fried and Brayan Bello.

The Yankees have accumulated 120 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 108 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .464 and have struck out 587 times, while being walked on 274 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.5 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in baseball. They have accrued 352 runs batted in as well as 591 base knocks so far this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .260. They have earned 366 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .344.

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The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.67 over the course of the season (9th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 626 hitters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 68 home runs and also 259 runs (9th in the league). They have walked 223 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.67 as a team so far this season. New York has relinquished 486 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and also 242 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.81 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20.

The Yankees have sent 221 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 112 runners for the year and 23.2% of them crossed home plate. They have accumulated 21 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 7 out of their 28 save opportunities. The Yankees bullpen have compiled a save rate of 75.0% and have entered the game in 70 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 41 holds on the campaign (15th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 71 times and also have had 63 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have a total of 1,779 putouts for the season, in addition to 565 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which puts them in 13th in MLB, and have earned 38 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,337 innings, which ranks them 5th in professional baseball.

Fried has thrown 972 innings and is sitting with 944 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 2.96 (320 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.143. He has surrendered 847 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 264 free passes. Fried (82-37 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.92 while he has faced 3,960 batters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .328 in addition to a team batting average of .255 this season. They have struck out on 650 occasions (1st in MLB) and have totaled 623 base hits. Boston has compiled 88 HRs for the year and 331 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .426 and they are recording 4.93 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have put up 136 two-baggers, while getting a free base 241 times as well as putting up 345 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.341 with a FIP of 3.92 as a unit for the season. They are sitting at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 611. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 327 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.09 (286 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (587 strikeouts against 234 free passes). They have allowed 70 HR's and they surrender 4.67 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 31 save opportunities and they have walked away with 17 saves. They rank 25th in the league holding a save percentage of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 232 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 91 times in high leverage situations and on 70 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 92 inherited runners. Sitting with 65 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 32 holds and also 14 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 62 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .976 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 637 assists, 61 errors and have accumulated 1,891 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 5,673 innings on the field, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (29th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Bello has surrendered 453 hits while he has tallied 377 punch outs in 428 innings pitched. He has conceded 208 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.434 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.34 and he has faced 1,872 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Bello (30-28 career mark) holds a 4.37 earned run average while surrendering 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-160)

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