New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/23/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, June 23, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) Cincinnati (+102)

Great American Ball Park is the site where the Cincinnati Reds (39-36) will go up against the New York Yankees (43-31) on Monday. The line on this contest has the Yankees at -122 and the Reds are priced at +102. The betting total comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Yarbrough and Nick Lodolo.

The Yankees have tallied 129 doubles as a team and have hit 113 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .449 and have been called out on strikes 652 times, while being walked on 293 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are recording 5.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. They have compiled 365 RBI's and 633 hits this season, and their batting average is at .253. They have earned 379 runs while holding a team OBP of .336.

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The Yankees have compiled a team ERA of 3.52 for the season (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 688 batters. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 74 home runs in addition to 278 runs (6th in MLB). They have walked 244 opposing players and their FIP is 3.64 as a team for the season. New York has surrendered 533 base hits (7.3 per 9 innings) and 257 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.18.

Yankees pitchers have entered the game with players on base 79 times in addition to having 71 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 43 holds on the campaign (16th in baseball). The Yankees bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 75.0% and have come into the game in 72 save situations. They have accumulated 21 saves on the year and have not converted 7 of their 28 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 124 base runners this year with 22.6% of them crossed the plate. The Yankees have sent 239 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The New York Mets have accounted for 1,970 putouts on the year, in addition to 621 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 12th in professional baseball, and they have turned 44 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 5,910 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 5th in the majors.

Yarbrough (56-41 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.13 while facing 3,434 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 780 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 194 free passes. His ERA is 4.19 (383 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.183. Yarbrough has taken the ball for 823 innings and has 648 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Cincinnati has 84 home runs on the campaign and 337 RBIs. They have put up 125 doubles, while walking 260 times and scoring 350 runs. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an on-base percentage of .322 as well as a team batting average of .248 over the course of the season. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .404 and they score 4.67 runs per game (8th in the league). They have struck out on 653 occasions (7th in baseball) and have 625 base hits.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.222 and have a FIP of 4.23 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (596 strikeouts against 229 walks). They come in at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 579. They have given up 91 long balls and they surrender 4.26 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 313 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.91 (287 earned runs yielded).

With 77 save situations, the Reds have earned 47 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 28 save chances and they have walked away with 20 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 65 times in high leverage situations and on 52 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.3% out of 83 inherited runners. They are ranked 6th in MLB with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have sent 247 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 45 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (15th in baseball). The Reds have accrued 575 assists, 35 errors and have earned a total of 1,983 putouts for the year. Out of their 5,949 innings played, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.1% (2nd in baseball).

During his MLB career, Lodolo has conceded 317 base knocks while accumulating 374 strikeouts in 338 innings. Lodolo (20-19 record in his career) is the owner of a 4.31 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 162 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.246 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.60 and he has gone up against 1,452 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-122)

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