New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Kansas City (+125)

The New York Yankees (39-25) are hitting the road to Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Kansas City Royals (34-32). The line on this matchup has the Yankees at -145 while the Royals are priced at +125. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Clarke Schmidt and Kris Bubic.

As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.5 runs per outing, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have racked up 349 runs and have an OBP of .344. The Yankees have tallied 113 doubles as a team and have knocked 105 baseballs out of the park. They have 336 runs batted in and 562 hits on the year, and their batting average is at .259. New York has a slugging % of .466 and have been rung up 564 times, while drawing a walk on 262 occasions.

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The Yankees have an ERA of 3.78 on the year (13th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 607 hitters. Yankees pitchers have yielded 66 long balls and 254 runs in total (10th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 216 batters and their FIP is 3.67 as a team on the season. New York has given up 464 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 238 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.81 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.20.

Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 66 times as well as having 61 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 40 holds on the year (15th in MLB). The Yankees relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 73.1% and stepped onto the hill in 67 save situations. They have recorded 19 saves over the course of the season and have blown 7 of their 26 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 105 runners for the season and 24.8% of them crossed the plate. The Yankees have dispatched 211 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Yankees have turned 71.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,094 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 1,698 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 531 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them sitting 11th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 37 double plays.

Schmidt has taken the hill for 363 innings and has earned 361 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 3.96 (160 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.311. He has surrendered 346 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 130 free passes. Schmidt (21-23 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.91 while facing 1,558 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Royals hold a team slugging percentage of .372 and they are earning 3.42 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have 110 doubles, while getting a free base 156 times and earning 226 runs. Kansas City has recorded 44 home runs so far this year and 223 RBIs. They have struck out on 456 occasions (29th in MLB) and have recorded 562 base hits. The Kansas City Royals have accounted for a team OBP of .305 and a batting average of .253 on the year.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.197 in addition to having a FIP of 3.73 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.20 (538 strikeouts vs 191 free passes). They are currently ranked 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 512. They have yielded 64 home runs and they yield 3.60 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Kansas City pitching staff have allowed 235 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.31 (216 earned runs yielded).

Kansas City relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.3% of 92 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 80 times in high leverage situations and on 66 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 65 save situations, the Royals have earned 37 holds and 6 blown saves. They sit at 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 78.6%, and they have sent 211 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Kansas City has called on relievers to enter the game in 28 save opportunities and they have converted 22 saves.

The Kansas City Royals have turned 56 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (10th in baseball). The Royals have 593 assists, 29 errors and have a total of 1,763 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 5,289 innings on the diamond, the Royals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (8th in the majors).

Bubic (16-32 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.10 ERA and has conceded 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and he has faced 1,848 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 196 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.395 and having a FIP of 4.0. In his pro baseball career, Bubic has conceded 427 hits while he has accumulated 407 strikeouts in 430 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+125)

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