New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Miami (+162)

The Miami Marlins (52-55) welcome the New York Yankees (59-49) at loanDepot park on Friday. The line on this matchup has New York at -196 and Miami is opening at +162. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Carlos Rodon and Janson Junk.

New York is slugging .451 and have been called out on strikes 948 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions. They have accrued 534 runs batted in and 927 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .253. The Yankees have tallied 182 doubles as a team and have hit 172 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 557 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. As a team, the New York Yankees are putting up 5.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.58 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25. Yankees pitchers have given up 121 home runs and 461 total runs (15th in MLB). New York has given up 824 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) and 422 earned runs. The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.97 so far this year (17th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 953 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 369 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.01 as a team on the year.

The Yankees have sent 358 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 179 runners on the campaign and 25.7% of them earned a run for their team. They have tallied 29 saves on the year and have blown 13 of their 42 chances to save the game. The Yankees relievers have recorded a save rate of 69.0% and have entered the game in 103 save situations. The bullpen have recorded 60 holds on the campaign (19th in baseball). Yankees relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 120 times and also have had 105 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have 2,870 putouts this season, in addition to 916 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which puts them in 23rd in professional baseball, and have a total of 68 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs in their 8,610 innings, which has them ranked 7th in the majors.

Rodon has taken the ball for 1,216 frames and is sitting with 1,353 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.78 (511 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.228. He has surrendered 1,042 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 451 free passes. Rodon (86-70 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.72 and he has gone up against 5,115 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Marlins hold a slugging % of .393 and they average 4.23 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have recorded 182 doubles, while walking 315 times as well as recording 453 runs. Miami has recorded 99 home runs on the year to go along with 435 RBIs. They have been rung up on 841 occasions (25th in baseball) and have accounted for 921 hits. The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .314 as well as a batting average of .252 over the course of the season.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 500 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.36 (461 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 111 homers and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.303 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.04 as a unit so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (843 strikeouts vs 337 walks). They are currently ranked 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 904.

Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 44 save opportunities and they have converted 27 saves. They are currently ranked 17th in the league with a save percentage of 61.4%, and they have dispatched 336 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 116 times in high leverage situations in addition to 84 occasions with base runners. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of their 122 inherited runners. With 105 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 60 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 76 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in baseball). The Marlins have 939 assists, 56 errors and have amassed 2,857 putouts during this campaign. In their 8,571 innings played, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (18th in professional baseball).

Junk (6-5 mark in his career) has a 4.68 earned run average and has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.88 and he has gone up against 430 batters during his MLB career. He has allowed 52 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.359 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. In his career, Junk has allowed 120 hits and he has 78 punch outs in 100 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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