New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/6/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets
Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY
TV: Sportsnet New York
Odds/Point Spread: New York (+150) New York (-182)
The New York Mets (49-38) welcome the New York Yankees (48-38) at Citi Field on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Yankees at +150 while the Mets are at -182. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Max Fried and Justin Hagenman.


As a team, the New York Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 4th in MLB. They have notched a total of 440 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .337. The Yankees have tallied 150 doubles as a unit and have hit 130 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 421 runs batted in in addition to 741 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .254. New York is slugging .447 and have been called out on strikes 764 times, while taking a walk on 347 occasions.
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The Yankees hold a team earned run average of 3.66 on the year (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 782 batters. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 86 long balls and 337 runs (7th in the league). They have walked 288 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.75 as a squad on the season. New York has relinquished 625 base hits (7.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 310 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20.
Yankees pitchers have entered the game with runners on 91 times as well as having 84 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 46 holds so far this year (20th in the league). The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 71.9% and have come into the game in 79 save situations. They have accumulated 23 saves for the year and have blown 9 of 32 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 143 base runners this year and 25.2% of them ended up scoring. The Yankees have sent 278 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.
The New York Mets have amassed 2,285 putouts this year, in addition to 728 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which has them ranked 14th in baseball, and have a total of 53 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs in their 6,855 innings on the diamond, ranking them 4th in MLB.
Fried has taken the mound for 998 innings and has earned 969 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 2.97 (329 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.138. He has given up 867 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 269 free passes. Fried (83-38 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.92 and he has faced 4,062 hitters in the majors.
The New York Mets have a team on-base percentage of .323 as well as a batting average of .243 for the year. They have struck out on 681 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have earned a total of 706 hits. New York has a total of 111 home runs this year and 368 runs batted in. The Mets have a team slugging % of .414 and they have an average of 4.33 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have put up 136 doubles, while taking a walk 301 times as well as putting up 377 runs.
The New York pitching staff have relinquished 339 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.50 (300 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 69 home runs and they concede 3.95 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.308 in addition to having a FIP of 3.69 as a staff this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (752 strikeouts against 325 bases on balls). They are sitting at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 685.
Sitting with 96 save situations, the Mets have earned 56 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 40 save opportunities and they have tallied 24 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 104 times in high leverage situations and on 93 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.3% of 143 inherited base runners. They are ranked 19th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 278 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year.
The New York Mets have turned 70 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in MLB). The Mets have 783 assists, 42 errors and are sitting with 2,316 putouts for the year. In 6,948 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in professional baseball).
Hagenman (0-0 career win-loss mark) holds a 1.50 ERA while surrendering 7.5 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 0.00 and he has faced 23 opposing hitters in his career. He has allowed a total of 1 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.833 and being the owner of a FIP of 1.5. In his career, Hagenman has conceded 5 base knocks while he has earned 5 punch outs in 6 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)
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Additional Resources:
New York Mets - Twitter
New York Yankees - Twitter