New York Yankees vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 5/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Sacramento (+125)

The Sacramento Athletics (20-18) will try to beat the New York Yankees (21-16) at Sutter Health Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -145 while Sacramento is coming in at +125. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Clarke Schmidt and Luis Severino.

The Yankees have accumulated 63 two-baggers as a team and have hit 62 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .465 and have been called out on strikes 329 times, while taking a walk on 147 occasions. As a team, the New York Yankees are earning 5.6 runs/g, which is 2nd in the league. They have accounted for 199 runs batted in in addition to 321 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is .258. They have earned 206 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .342.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20. Yankees pitchers have yielded 32 home runs and also 145 runs (9th in MLB). New York has relinquished 247 hits (6.8 per 9 innings) and also 130 earned runs. The Yankees are sitting with a team ERA of 3.59 this season (10th in the league), and the staff has rung up 336 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 143 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.71 as a unit so far this season.

The Yankees bullpen have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and have come into the game in 38 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners on the season with 22.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 40 times as well as having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 117 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 23 holds this season (15th in MLB). They have accumulated 10 saves on the year and have blown 5 of 15 save opportunities.

The Yankees have converted 72.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,934 innings on the field, which has them sitting 3rd in baseball. The New York Mets are sitting with 978 putouts on the year, in addition to 312 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 19th in baseball, and have a total of 22 double plays.

Schmidt has taken the hill for 334 innings and is sitting with 330 K's so far in his MLB career. Schmidt (19-21 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.95 while he has gone up against 1,442 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.01 (149 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.322. He has given up 323 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 119 free passes.

The Sacramento Athletics have earned a team on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .258 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 281 occasions (26th in MLB) and have earned 336 base knocks. Sacramento has knocked in 47 home runs on the year and 158 runs batted in. The Athletics have a SLG% of .421 and they average 4.34 runs per contest (16th in the league). They have notched 59 two-baggers, while walking 116 times and scoring 165 runs.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.414 in addition to having a FIP of 4.25 as a pitching staff so far this season. They rank 25th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 333. The Sacramento pitching staff have relinquished 189 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.47 (169 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (306 strikeouts vs 148 walks). They have given up 39 home runs and they concede 5.00 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

With 43 save situations, the Athletics have accumulated 25 holds and 6 blown saves. Sacramento has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 18 save chances and they have come away with 12 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 47 times in high leverage situations and on 45 occasions with runners on. Sacramento relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 21.5% out of their 65 inherited runners. They are ranked 12th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 130 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Sacramento Athletics have turned 21 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (25th in professional baseball). The Athletics have accrued 295 assists, 26 errors and are sitting with 1,022 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 3,066 innings on the field, the Athletics have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (22nd in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Severino has allowed 856 hits while totaling 987 punch outs in 958 innings pitched. Severino (66-47 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.80 earned run average while giving up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 405 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.198 and having a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.38 and he has faced 3,991 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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