New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 8/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers

Date: Monday, August 4, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) Texas (+102)

The New York Yankees (60-49) are on their way to Globe Life Field on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Texas Rangers (57-53). The odds on this game have the Yankees at -122 and the Rangers are at +102. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Fried and Nathan Eovaldi.

New York has a slugging rate of .452 and have been called out on strikes 957 times, while being walked on 414 occasions. They have recorded 541 runs batted in as well as 935 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .252. The Yankees have earned 183 doubles as a squad and have smacked 174 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 564 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .332. As a unit, the New York Yankees are compiling 5.2 runs per outing, which is 3rd in the league.

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The Yankees have a team earned run average of 3.97 this season (17th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 962 hitters. Yankees pitchers have relinquished 121 home runs and 465 runs (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 369 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a team for the season. New York has yielded 831 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 426 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.61 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24.

Yankees relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 120 times as well as having 105 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 61 holds so far this year (16th in the league). The Yankees bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 69.8% and stepped onto the hill in 105 save situations. They have 30 saves on the season and have missed out on 13 of 43 save chances. The relievers have inherited 179 runners for the year with 25.7% of those runners crossed home plate. The Yankees have dispatched 360 relievers to the hill this season.

The New York Mets have earned a total of 2,897 putouts so far this season, in addition to 924 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 22nd in professional baseball, and they have turned 69 double plays. The Yankees have turned 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of 8,691 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 6th in the majors.

Fried (85-40 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.97 while he has gone up against 4,156 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 889 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 278 walks. His ERA is 3.01 (341 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.146. Fried has taken the ball for 1,018 innings and has earned 988 strikeouts in his career.

The Texas Rangers have earned a team OBP of .300 and a team batting average of .232 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 916 occasions (15th in baseball) and have notched a total of 849 base knocks. Texas has hit 116 home runs on the campaign as well as 432 RBIs. The Rangers hold a team SLG% of .377 and they have an average of 4.11 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have put up 159 doubles, while walking 328 times and recording 452 runs.

The Texas pitching staff have given up 386 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.24 (351 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 100 homers and they surrender 3.56 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Rangers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.167 and have a FIP of 3.66 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (896 strikeouts against 318 walks). They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 821.

Sitting with 111 save situations, the Rangers have compiled 61 holds and 19 blown saves. Texas has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 47 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 122 times in high leverage situations and on 112 occasions with runners on base. Texas relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.9% of 161 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 20th in the league with a save percentage of 59.6%, and they have dispatched 341 relievers to the mound so far this season.

In 8,787 innings played, the Rangers have a efficiency on defense of 72.1% (1st in baseball). The Texas Rangers have turned 86 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in MLB). The Rangers have accrued 956 assists, 36 errors and have a tally of 2,929 putouts on the campaign.

During his career, Eovaldi has conceded 1,643 hits while he has totaled 1,463 punch outs in 1,675 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 728 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.258 and having a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.15 and he has faced 7,024 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Eovaldi (100-84 career mark) has a 3.91 earned run average while surrendering 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+102)

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