New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Toronto (+150)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (45-38) will try to beat the New York Yankees (48-35) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Yankees at -182 and the Blue Jays are at +150. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Kevin Gausman.

As a squad, the New York Yankees are recording 5.1 runs per contest, which is 4th in the league. They are sitting with 422 runs while having a team OBP of .336. The Yankees have accumulated 142 doubles as a squad and have smacked 126 baseballs out of the park. They have 405 RBI's and 710 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .253. New York is slugging .448 and have struck out 740 times, while being walked on 331 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.80 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Yankees pitchers have conceded 80 home runs and 309 runs (3rd in MLB). New York has given up 593 base knocks (7.2 per 9 innings) as well as 284 earned runs. The Yankees have compiled a team earned run average of 3.46 over the course of the season (5th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 762 hitters. They have walked 272 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.65 as a unit on the year.

The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 74.2% and have entered the game in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 135 base runners over the course of the season with 23.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Yankees pitchers have entered the game with runners on 86 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 268 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relievers have a total of 46 holds on the year (18th in the league). They have accumulated 23 saves this season and have blown 8 of their 31 save opportunities.

The New York Mets have accounted for 2,213 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 703 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which ranks 10th in the majors, and have a total of 51 double plays. The Yankees have converted 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,639 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 3rd in the majors.

Fried (83-38 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.90 while facing 4,039 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 864 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 267 free passes. His earned run average is 2.95 (325 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.140. Fried has taken the hill for 992 innings and has accounted for 967 K's during his pro baseball career.

Toronto has accumulated 83 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 349 runs batted in. They have recorded 139 doubles, while getting a free base 274 times and scoring 365 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have a team OBP of .327 as well as a batting average of .256 for the season. The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .397 and they score 4.40 runs per outing (13th in MLB). They have been rung up on 559 instances (30th in the league) and are sitting with 719 hits.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 369 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.21 (345 earned runs given up). They have given up 111 long balls and they yield 4.50 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.253 and have a FIP of 4.29 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (737 strikeouts against 264 bases on balls). They are sitting at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 661.

Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 117 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 81 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 43 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 64.9%, and they have dispatched 282 relievers onto the field for the year. Toronto has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 37 save chances and they have walked away with 24 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 58 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Blue Jays have accrued 633 assists, 39 errors and have notched a total of 2,216 putouts over the course of the season. In their 6,648 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in the majors).

So far in his career, Gausman has surrendered 1,755 base hits and he has 1,855 K's in 1,812 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 777 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.250 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has gone up against 7,587 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Gausman (108-108 career record) has earned a 3.86 ERA and has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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