New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Toronto (-145)

The Toronto Blue Jays (58-41) will try to defeat the New York Yankees (55-44) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. The line on this contest has New York at +125 and Toronto is priced at -145. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Cam Schlittler and Max Scherzer.

As a unit, the New York Yankees are compiling 5.3 runs per game, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 520 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .336. The Yankees have accounted for 176 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 156 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 499 RBI's and 864 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate is at .256. New York has a slugging rate of .455 and have been called out on strikes 864 times, while drawing a walk on 385 occasions.

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The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.90 this year (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 882 batters. Yankees pitchers have conceded 109 home runs and also 408 total runs (14th in MLB). They have walked 331 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a squad over the course of the season. New York has yielded 738 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 379 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.66 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Yankees relief pitchers have a save percentage of 72.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 92 save situations. The relievers have inherited 162 base runners on the year and 25.3% of those runners crossed home plate. Yankees bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 106 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Yankees have sent 325 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have racked up 55 holds this season (15th in baseball). They have 26 saves this year and have blown 10 of their 36 chances to get a save.

The New York Mets have 2,549 putouts for the season, in addition to 812 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which is 13th in the majors, and have accumulated 61 double plays. The Yankees have converted 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,647 innings, which has them ranked 3rd in professional baseball.

Schlittler has taken the ball for 5 frames and has accounted for 7 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.29 (3 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.176. He has surrendered 4 hits (7.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 2 free passes. Schlittler (1-0 career mark) has earned a FIP of 5.21 while he has gone up against 21 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Toronto is sitting with 105 home runs this season as well as 439 runs batted in. They have put up 172 two-baggers, while taking a walk 331 times as well as putting up 458 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .261 for the year. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .409 and they tally 4.63 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have been rung up on 661 instances (30th in MLB) and have tallied 871 hits.

The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 432 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.13 (403 earned runs yielded). They have given up 129 homers and they surrender 4.42 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (884 strikeouts vs 316 bases on balls). They are sitting at 13th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 796.

Toronto bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.3% out of 142 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 98 times in high leverage situations and on 101 occasions with base runners. With 109 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 60 holds and also 17 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.8%, and they have sent 340 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 47 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 69 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 720 assists, 50 errors and have notched a total of 2,558 putouts for the season. Out of their 7,674 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in pro baseball).

Scherzer (217-112 career mark) has a 3.17 earned run average and has surrendered 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.50 and he has faced 11,723 batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 1,022 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.079 and having a FIP of 3.1. During his career, Scherzer has surrendered 2,368 hits and he has 3,431 strikeouts in 2,901 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+125)

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