Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, June 27, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-122) Atlanta (+102)

The Philadelphia Phillies (47-33) are hitting the road to Truist Park on Friday where they will go up against the Atlanta Braves (37-42). The odds on this game have the Phillies at -122 while the Braves are priced at +102. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Mick Abel and Bryce Elder.

Philadelphia is slugging .402 and have been called out on strikes 623 times, while taking a walk on 278 occasions. They have 352 RBI's and 695 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is .256. The Phillies have hit 126 doubles as a squad and have hit 83 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 369 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .330. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.6 runs/g, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball.

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The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.84 on the year (12th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 735 batters. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 87 home runs and 331 total runs (13th in MLB). They have walked 235 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.68 as a team on the year. Philadelphia has given up 673 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 305 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.27.

The Phillies have sent 249 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 73 runners so far this year with 41.1% of those players crossed the plate. They have earned 24 saves on the year and have blown 16 of 40 chances to save the game. The Phillies relief pitchers have a save rate of 60.0% and have entered the game in 78 save situations. The relievers have racked up 37 holds for the season (27th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 52 times in addition to having 87 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have turned 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,435 innings on the field, which ranks them 22nd in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 2,145 putouts this year, as well as 699 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .990 which puts them in 3rd in baseball, and have earned 53 double plays.

Abel has taken the ball for 23 frames and is sitting with 18 K's in his career. His earned run average is 3.51 (9 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.169. He has given up 23 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 4 free passes. Abel (2-1 career record) has a FIP of 3.45 while he has faced 96 hitters in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have an OBP of .320 and a team batting average of .244 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 670 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned a total of 653 base knocks. Atlanta has recorded 82 HRs this season to go along with 319 RBIs. The Braves hold a team slugging % of .383 and they average 4.20 runs per game (19th in baseball). They have hit 110 doubles, while walking 284 times as well as recording 332 runs.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.221 with a FIP of 3.82 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (716 strikeouts vs 250 walks). They sit at 5th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 601. They have relinquished 85 homers and they give up 3.96 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball). The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 307 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.71 (287 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 24 save opportunities and they have come away with 12 saves. They are ranked 28th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 243 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.9% out of 115 inherited base runners. With 56 save situations, the Braves have tallied 32 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 56 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in the majors). The Braves have recorded 697 assists, 30 errors and have earned 2,092 putouts during this campaign. In their 6,276 innings on the diamond, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in the majors).

Elder (18-17 career win-loss mark) has a 4.29 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.24 and he has faced 1,466 batters in his career. He has surrendered 164 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.334 and a FIP of 4.2. So far in his MLB career, Elder has surrendered 336 hits while he has accumulated 276 punch outs in 344 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-122)

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