Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) Miami (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies (43-29) are headed to loanDepot park on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Miami Marlins (28-42). The odds on this game have the Phillies at -130 while the Marlins are coming in at +110. The total has been set at 9. The men taking the mound will be Ranger Suarez and Freddy Tarnok.

The Phillies have compiled 113 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 77 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .406 and have struck out 563 times, while drawing a walk on 255 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.7 runs per outing, which has them at 7th in MLB. They have accrued 323 runs batted in and 630 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .257. They have racked up 339 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .332.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.13 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28. Phillies pitchers have conceded 72 long balls and 303 runs in total (17th in baseball). Philadelphia has yielded 611 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) as well as 278 earned runs. The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.87 for the year (16th in the league), and their staff has struck out 669 hitters. They have walked 214 opposing players and their FIP is 3.54 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Phillies have dispatched 229 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 67 base runners this year and 38.8% of those players ended up scoring. They have tallied 22 saves so far this season and have blown 14 of 36 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 61.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 73 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 36 holds over the course of the season (23rd in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 48 times in addition to having 83 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,814 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 1,938 putouts this year, as well as 625 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding rate is at .989 which puts them in 3rd in professional baseball, and have 46 double plays.

Suarez has thrown 654 innings and has accounted for 598 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Suarez (46-30 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.29 while he has gone up against 2,749 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.34 (243 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.269. He has surrendered 616 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 214 walks.

Miami has accumulated 61 home runs so far this year as well as 273 RBIs. They have recorded 115 two-baggers, while walking 207 times and notching 284 runs. The Miami Marlins have earned an on-base percentage of .313 as well as a team batting average of .251 over the course of the season. The Marlins have a team slugging % of .383 and they earn 4.06 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 565 instances (21st in MLB) and have totaled 601 hits.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.424 in addition to having a FIP of 4.40 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (549 strikeouts vs 249 free passes). They are currently ranked 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 635. They have conceded 84 long balls and they concede 5.43 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 375 runs this year while having a team ERA of 5.03 (347 earned runs given up).

Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 27 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save rate of 55.6%, and they have dispatched 229 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season. Their relievers have taken the field 79 times in high leverage situations in addition to 64 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% of 94 inherited runners. With 62 save situations, the Marlins have earned 35 holds and 12 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 50 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 612 assists, 39 errors and have accounted for 1,863 putouts this year. Out of their 5,589 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (24th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Tarnok has allowed 12 base hits while totaling 15 strikeouts in 16 frames. Tarnok (1-1 career record) has earned a 4.47 earned run average while allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 8 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.429 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.36 and he has gone up against 71 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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